<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
Javier Vazquez
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit page ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 29
6' 2"
175 lbs.
Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2003 MON MLB 13 12 0 34 34 230.7 198 57 241 28 40% .285 32 1.11 3.24 3.63 3.55 8.0 2.0 8.5 1.1 59.7 6.3 8.5
2004 NYA MLB 14 10 0 32 32 198.0 195 60 150 33 41% .279 6 1.29 4.91 4.76 4.71 8.9 2.5 6.4 1.4 21.9 3.9 5.2
2005 ARI MLB 11 15 0 33 33 215.7 223 46 192 35 44% .308 14 1.25 4.42 4.31 4.31 9.0 1.8 7.3 1.4 22.7 4.1 6.6


EQA Distribution
Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 16 9 0 33 33 228.0 210 46 189 29 41% .274 26 1.12 3.29 3.32 3.20 8.0 1.8 7.2 1.0 62.0 7.9 8.3
75o 15 10 0 33 33 221.7 210 46 182 30 41% .279 24 1.16 3.56 3.55 3.46 8.2 1.8 7.1 1.1 53.5 7.0 7.5
60o 13 11 0 32 32 214.0 210 47 174 31 41% .284 22 1.20 3.89 3.84 3.78 8.5 1.9 7.0 1.2 43.7 6.0 6.5
50o 13 11 0 32 32 211.7 210 47 171 32 41% .285 22 1.21 4.00 3.93 3.88 8.6 1.9 7.0 1.2 40.8 5.7 6.2
40o 12 11 0 32 32 205.7 210 47 165 33 41% .289 20 1.25 4.26 4.16 4.13 8.9 2.0 6.9 1.3 33.5 4.9 5.5
25o 11 12 0 32 31 199.3 210 48 158 34 41% .294 19 1.29 4.56 4.41 4.42 9.1 2.1 6.9 1.4 25.9 4.1 4.7
10o 10 12 0 32 30 189.0 208 48 148 35 42% .301 16 1.35 5.04 4.83 4.87 9.5 2.2 6.8 1.5 14.4 2.9 3.5
Weighted Mean 13 11 0 33 33 213.3 213 48 172 32 41% .286 22 1.22 4.04 3.96 3.96 8.6 2.0 7.0 1.3 39.9 5.6 6.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

20%

64%

5%

1%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 (age 29) 13 11 0 33 33 213.3 213 48 172 32 41% .286 22 1.22 4.04 3.96 3.96 8.6 2.0 7.0 1.3 39.9 5.6 6.1
2007 (age 30) 12 11 0 33 31 205.3 208 47 156 33 42% .283 17 1.24 4.23 4.13 4.11 8.8 2.0 6.6 1.3 30.8 4.9 5.0
2008 (age 31) 11 10 0 33 27 178.3 179 40 138 28 42% .283 16 1.23 4.18 4.04 4.06 8.7 2.0 6.7 1.3 26.7 4.3 4.3
2009 (age 32) 11 11 0 36 29 192.3 195 44 142 31 41% .280 13 1.24 4.26 4.14 4.14 8.8 2.0 6.4 1.4 23.3 4.5 3.9
2010 (age 33) 9 10 0 36 25 168.3 179 39 118 29 41% .287 9 1.29 4.52 4.42 4.38 9.2 2.0 6.1 1.4 17.1 3.4 3.1

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 6.1 $11,400,000 40.2 37.7
2007 5.0 $8,525,000 31.1 29.4
2008 4.3 $7,125,000 26.8 26.8
2009 3.9 $6,275,000 23.5 22.3
2010 3.1 $4,700,000 17.2 14.0
Peak 22.4 $33,625,000 138.8 130.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 3.47 3.89 4.43 3.96
2007 3.57 4.03 4.86 4.11
2008 3.64 4.07 5.02 4.06
2009 3.47 4.23 4.97 4.14
2010 3.75 4.53 5.11 4.38


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 1% 0% 20%
2007 15% 0% 8%
2008 25% 5% 7%
2009 35% 12% 11%
2010 46% 13% 8%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

52

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Don Sutton 1975 70 11 Mike Moore 1989 39
2 Mike Mussina 1998 65 12 Juan Marichal 1967 38
3 Robin Roberts 1956 56 13 Pedro Astacio 1999 37
4 Bob Welch 1986 54 14 Rick Wise 1975 37
5 Bret Saberhagen 1994 53 15 Jack McDowell 1995 37
6 Jack Morris 1985 47 16 Frank Viola 1990 36
7 Dennis Leonard 1981 47 17 Floyd Bannister 1985 35
8 Bert Blyleven 1981 44 18 Curt Schilling 1996 35
9 Alex Fernandez 1999 43 19 Turk Farrell 1964 35
10 Ray Culp 1971 43 20 Milt Wilcox 1980 34

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2006 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.