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Jim Thome
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit page ]
First Base
Bats L
Age 35
6' 4"
245 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 PHI MLB 698 111 30 3 47 131 111 182 0 3 4.3 .266 .385 .573 .316 .265 .383 .577 .314 54.6 153-1B -8 6.2
2004 PHI MLB 618 97 28 1 42 105 104 144 0 2 3.6 .274 .396 .581 .320 .266 .390 .563 .314 50.6 131-1B -9 5.4
2005 PHI MLB 242 26 7 0 7 30 45 59 0 0 3.8 .207 .360 .352 -.059 .203 .357 .354 .259 -1.1 49-1B -1 0.9


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 468 100 20 2 31 81 81 101 0 1 4.8 .299 .421 .607 .390 .297 .427 .602 .341 47.4 111-1B -7 4.8
75o 415 77 17 1 25 67 70 91 0 1 4.5 .284 .406 .564 .303 .282 .412 .559 .327 33.4 99-1B -6 3.7
60o 337 51 12 1 17 48 55 76 0 0 4.0 .260 .383 .498 .168 .259 .389 .493 .304 16.2 81-1B -4 2.2
50o 285 36 10 1 12 37 46 65 0 0 3.6 .244 .366 .450 .071 .242 .372 .446 .286 7.1 70-1B -3 1.4
40o 268 32 9 1 11 34 42 62 0 0 3.5 .238 .361 .434 .039 .237 .366 .430 .280 4.6 66-1B -3 1.2
25o 248 28 8 1 10 30 39 57 0 0 3.4 .232 .354 .415 .001 .230 .359 .412 .273 2.0 61-1B -2 1.0
10o 176 15 5 0 5 18 27 42 0 0 2.9 .207 .328 .344 -.144 .205 .333 .341 .244 -4.6 45-1B -1 0.2
Weighted Mean 341 52 13 1 18 49 56 77 0 1 4.0 .263 .386 .505 .183 .261 .391 .501 .307 16.5 82-1B -5 2.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

26%

42%

39%

38%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 35) 341 52 13 1 18 49 56 77 0 1 4.0 .263 .386 .505 .183 .261 .391 .501 .307 16.5 82-1B -5 2.1
2007 (age 36) 234 31 9 0 12 35 37 54 0 0 3.9 .263 .380 .506 .175 .261 .385 .501 .304 9.0 58-1B -4 1.1
2008 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2009 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 2.0 0.1 2.1 $2,275,000 16.5 25.5
2007 1.1 0.0 1.1 $1,225,000 9.0 12.0
2008 1.0 0.0 1.0 $1,125,000 8.8 11.0
2009 0.5 0.1 0.6 $775,000 3.5 3.8
2010 0.6 0.0 0.5 $750,000 4.9 5.2
Peak 5.3 $4,100,000 42.7 57.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .327 .286 .273 .307
2007 .315 .289 .256 .304
2008
-- out of baseball --
2009
-- out of baseball --
2010
-- out of baseball --


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 38% 0% 26%
2007 70% 32% 11%
2008 76% 57% 8%
2009 77% 64% 2%
2010 85% 71% 0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

22

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Boog Powell 1977 46 11 Tim Salmon 2004 16
2 Willie McCovey 1973 34 12 Frank Thomas 2004 15
3 Mo Vaughn 2003 22 13 Ken Phelps 1990 15
4 Bill Nicholson 1950 22 14 J.T. Snow 2004 14
5 Bob Allison 1970 20 15 Ken Griffey 2005 13
6 David Justice 2002 19 16 Gil Hodges 1960 13
7 Mickey Tettleton 1996 19 17 Jim Hickman 1973 13
8 Chris Chambliss 1984 19 18 Cliff Johnson 1983 12
9 Eddie Mathews 1967 18 19 Fred McGriff 1999 11
10 Robin Ventura 2003 18 20 Bill White 1969 11

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