<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
Brian Schneider
Washington Nationals [ Team Audit page ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 29
6' 1"
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 MON MLB 376 34 26 1 9 46 37 75 0 2 3.1 .230 .309 .394 -.140 .222 .301 .386 .238 -2.5 95-C 17 4.1
2004 MON MLB 483 40 20 3 12 49 42 63 0 1 3.9 .257 .325 .399 -.031 .249 .317 .389 .245 10.5 125-C 13 4.8
2005 WAS MLB 406 38 20 1 10 44 29 48 1 0 3.9 .268 .330 .409 .018 .273 .336 .426 .263 15.9 103-C 11 4.8


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 434 53 22 1 12 53 40 60 0 1 4.4 .276 .348 .430 .023 .289 .358 .464 .274 24.9 103-C 6 4.8
75o 399 43 19 1 9 45 35 56 0 1 4.1 .261 .332 .398 -.056 .273 .341 .430 .259 14.9 95-C 5 3.8
60o 382 38 17 1 8 42 33 54 0 1 3.9 .253 .323 .382 -.097 .265 .333 .412 .251 10.3 91-C 5 3.3
50o 368 34 16 1 7 39 31 52 0 1 3.8 .247 .317 .369 -.130 .259 .326 .399 .244 6.9 88-C 5 3.0
40o 348 29 15 1 6 35 28 50 0 1 3.6 .238 .306 .349 -.180 .249 .315 .377 .234 2.1 84-C 5 2.5
25o 322 24 13 1 5 30 25 47 0 0 3.4 .226 .293 .324 -.243 .236 .302 .350 .220 -3.2 78-C 4 1.9
10o 285 17 10 1 3 24 21 42 0 0 3.0 .207 .272 .285 -.340 .217 .280 .308 .196 -9.9 70-C 3 1.1
Weighted Mean 367 34 16 1 7 39 31 52 0 1 3.8 .249 .318 .372 -.121 .260 .328 .402 .246 7.6 88-C 5 3.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

17%

43%

33%

14%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 29) 367 34 16 1 7 39 31 52 0 1 3.8 .249 .318 .372 -.121 .260 .328 .402 .246 7.6 88-C 5 3.0
2007 (age 30) 313 27 14 1 7 33 26 46 0 1 3.6 .245 .313 .372 -.133 .256 .322 .402 .243 5.2 76-C 5 2.4
2008 (age 31) 282 23 12 1 6 30 23 41 0 1 3.7 .245 .313 .373 -.132 .256 .322 .403 .243 4.5 69-C 2 1.8
2009 (age 32) 277 23 12 1 6 30 24 40 0 0 3.5 .245 .317 .371 -.128 .257 .326 .401 .245 4.0 68-C 4 1.7
2010 (age 33) 255 20 11 1 5 25 22 36 0 0 3.5 .254 .324 .377 -.102 .266 .334 .407 .250 4.3 63-C 2 1.4

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 0.6 2.5 3.0 $3,750,000 7.6 3.4
2007 0.4 2.0 2.4 $2,850,000 5.2 6.3
2008 0.3 1.5 1.8 $2,150,000 4.5 4.8
2009 0.3 1.5 1.7 $2,100,000 4.0 4.2
2010 0.3 1.0 1.4 $1,700,000 4.3 4.8
Peak 10.4 $10,025,000 25.6 23.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .259 .244 .220 .246
2007 .261 .233 .216 .243
2008 .265 .242 .212 .243
2009 .262 .238 .218 .245
2010 .274 .250 .225 .250


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 14% 0% 17%
2007 37% 9% 16%
2008 46% 16% 15%
2009 52% 26% 13%
2010 66% 42% 13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

67

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Milt May 1980 72 11 Darrin Fletcher 1996 54
2 Bill Fahey 1980 70 12 Russ Nixon 1964 54
3 Ed Ott 1981 69 13 Johnny Oates 1975 54
4 Jeff Reed 1992 64 14 Rick Cerone 1983 52
5 Clay Dalrymple 1966 63 15 Del Rice 1952 52
6 Ron Hassey 1982 58 16 Terry Steinbach 1991 52
7 Sammy Taylor 1962 58 17 Alan Ashby 1981 52
8 Frank House 1959 58 18 Rich Gedman 1989 51
9 Greg Myers 1995 56 19 Scott Servais 1997 51
10 Dave Valle 1990 55 20 Duane Josephson 1972 51

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2005

For the second season in a row, Schneider almost eliminated the stolen base from other teams' offensive games. He threw out half the base runners who dared take off against him. He committed only four passed balls, so it's not as if they were able to make up for it by advancing on his poor defense catching the ball, either. Few other catchers can match Schneider's +38 fielding rating over the last three years. Combined with some decent power and patience, and you have a bargain at $2 million for 2005 who's flat-out fun to watch.

2003

A better option than all the Brad Ausmii out there, with or without accounting for salary. For the Expos’ purposes, Schneider’s a better-fielding catcher than Michael Barrett, with a bat that at least looked comparable in limited playing time. With payroll concerns all over the roster, Barrett may get shipped out, opening the starting job for Schneider. Paired with a veteran righty hitter, catcher could remain a plus position for the Expos, especially if Schneider converts a few of those ample doubles into homers.

2002

Schneider impressed former second-string backstop Torborg with his work behind the plate in September, putting a hammerlock on the backup-catcher job. The power he showed a couple of years ago in Harrisburg raises concerns about temporary genetic mutation occurring on tours of Three Mile Island, but even without that sock, Schneider's left-handed bat still makes him handy off the bench. He is embarking on what should be a nice little career, logging a few seasons as a starter before it’s over.

2001

A decent backup catcher in the making, Brian Schneider compensates for his lack of arm strength behind the plate with quick footwork. It’s a treat to watch; we’re so used to rockets getting launched by the Ivan Rodriguezs and the Henry Blancos that we forget the difference that anticipation and quickness can make. Schneider’s shot at backing up Barrett is endangered by the signing of Sandy Martinez. Laugh away, monkey boy, but this is serious as far as Schneider is concerned.

2000

The new Darrin Fletcher? He’s a good receiver and game-caller, with an accurate arm that isn’t very strong. Catchers who hit left-handed have better job guarantees than mailmen, and they’re less likely to go postal. If Henley scuffles, Schneider could be up before September, adding another wrinkle to the choice of where to put Barrett.

1999

An unusual developmental strategy the Expos have is the midseason promotion, followed by a non-promotion the next spring. Schneider began '98 where he ended '97, in Cape Fear, and he crushed the ball for about a month before he was promoted to Jupiter, where he struggled across the board. Karl Chatman and Carlos Adolfo had similar seasons, and I just don't see any evidence that this is helping anyone's development.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2006 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.