Brian Schneider

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	MON	MLB	376	34	26	1	9	46	37	75	0	2	3.1	.230	.309	.394	-.140	.222	.301	.386	.238	-2.5	95-C 17	4.1
2004	MON	MLB	483	40	20	3	12	49	42	63	0	1	3.9	.257	.325	.399	-.031	.249	.317	.389	.245	10.5	125-C 13	4.8
2005	WAS	MLB	406	38	20	1	10	44	29	48	1	0	3.9	.268	.330	.409	.018	.273	.336	.426	.263	15.9	103-C 11	4.8

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	434	53	22	1	12	53	40	60	0	1	4.4	.276	.348	.430	.023	.289	.358	.464	.274	24.9	103-C 6	4.8
75^o	399	43	19	1	9	45	35	56	0	1	4.1	.261	.332	.398	-.056	.273	.341	.430	.259	14.9	95-C 5	3.8
60^o	382	38	17	1	8	42	33	54	0	1	3.9	.253	.323	.382	-.097	.265	.333	.412	.251	10.3	91-C 5	3.3
50^o	368	34	16	1	7	39	31	52	0	1	3.8	.247	.317	.369	-.130	.259	.326	.399	.244	6.9	88-C 5	3.0
40^o	348	29	15	1	6	35	28	50	0	1	3.6	.238	.306	.349	-.180	.249	.315	.377	.234	2.1	84-C 5	2.5
25^o	322	24	13	1	5	30	25	47	0	0	3.4	.226	.293	.324	-.243	.236	.302	.350	.220	-3.2	78-C 4	1.9
10^o	285	17	10	1	3	24	21	42	0	0	3.0	.207	.272	.285	-.340	.217	.280	.308	.196	-9.9	70-C 3	1.1
Weighted Mean	367	34	16	1	7	39	31	52	0	1	3.8	.249	.318	.372	-.121	.260	.328	.402	.246	7.6	88-C 5	3.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
17%	43%	33%	14%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 29)	367	34	16	1	7	39	31	52	0	1	3.8	.249	.318	.372	-.121	.260	.328	.402	.246	7.6	88-C 5	3.0
2007 (age 30)	313	27	14	1	7	33	26	46	0	1	3.6	.245	.313	.372	-.133	.256	.322	.402	.243	5.2	76-C 5	2.4
2008 (age 31)	282	23	12	1	6	30	23	41	0	1	3.7	.245	.313	.373	-.132	.256	.322	.403	.243	4.5	69-C 2	1.8
2009 (age 32)	277	23	12	1	6	30	24	40	0	0	3.5	.245	.317	.371	-.128	.257	.326	.401	.245	4.0	68-C 4	1.7
2010 (age 33)	255	20	11	1	5	25	22	36	0	0	3.5	.254	.324	.377	-.102	.266	.334	.407	.250	4.3	63-C 2	1.4

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.6	2.5	3.0	$3,750,000	7.6	3.4
2007	0.4	2.0	2.4	$2,850,000	5.2	6.3
2008	0.3	1.5	1.8	$2,150,000	4.5	4.8
2009	0.3	1.5	1.7	$2,100,000	4.0	4.2
2010	0.3	1.0	1.4	$1,700,000	4.3	4.8
Peak			10.4	$10,025,000	25.6	23.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.259	.244	.220	.246
2007	.261	.233	.216	.243
2008	.265	.242	.212	.243
2009	.262	.238	.218	.245
2010	.274	.250	.225	.250

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	14%	0%	17%
2007	37%	9%	16%
2008	46%	16%	15%
2009	52%	26%	13%
2010	66%	42%	13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

67

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Milt May	1980	72		11	Darrin Fletcher	1996	54
2	Bill Fahey	1980	70		12	Russ Nixon	1964	54
3	Ed Ott	1981	69		13	Johnny Oates	1975	54
4	Jeff Reed	1992	64		14	Rick Cerone	1983	52
5	Clay Dalrymple	1966	63		15	Del Rice	1952	52
6	Ron Hassey	1982	58		16	Terry Steinbach	1991	52
7	Sammy Taylor	1962	58		17	Alan Ashby	1981	52
8	Frank House	1959	58		18	Rich Gedman	1989	51
9	Greg Myers	1995	56		19	Scott Servais	1997	51
10	Dave Valle	1990	55		20	Duane Josephson	1972	51

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