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A.J. Pierzynski
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit page ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 29
6' 3"
240 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 MIN MLB 531 63 35 3 11 74 24 55 3 1 4.9 .312 .360 .464 .130 .311 .360 .468 .284 35.1 129-C 10 6.2
2004 SFN MLB 508 45 28 2 11 77 19 27 0 1 3.2 .272 .319 .410 -.042 .268 .313 .404 .247 9.1 114-C -1 3.5
2005 CHA MLB 496 61 21 0 18 56 23 68 0 2 3.7 .257 .308 .420 -.055 .258 .317 .436 .256 12.1 123-C 3 4.0


EQA Distribution
Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 497 66 28 2 20 76 23 56 0 1 5.0 .300 .343 .495 .136 .298 .348 .490 .285 31.3 117-C 2 5.0
75o 476 56 25 1 16 67 21 55 0 1 4.6 .286 .327 .459 .052 .284 .332 .454 .270 20.4 113-C 1 4.0
60o 464 51 23 1 14 62 20 54 0 1 4.4 .277 .318 .437 .002 .276 .323 .433 .260 14.3 110-C 0 3.4
50o 458 48 22 1 13 59 19 53 0 1 4.3 .273 .313 .426 -.024 .271 .318 .422 .255 11.3 108-C 0 3.1
40o 449 45 21 1 12 56 18 53 0 1 4.1 .267 .307 .410 -.060 .265 .311 .406 .248 7.3 107-C -1 2.7
25o 436 40 20 1 10 51 17 52 0 1 3.8 .258 .297 .386 -.114 .256 .301 .383 .237 1.4 104-C -1 2.2
10o 416 32 17 1 7 44 15 51 0 1 3.5 .243 .280 .348 -.203 .241 .284 .344 .217 -7.6 99-C -2 1.3
Weighted Mean 482 53 24 1 14 62 20 56 0 1 4.2 .274 .315 .429 -.016 .273 .319 .425 .257 12.3 114-C 0 3.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

15%

41%

26%

8%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 29) 482 53 24 1 14 62 20 56 0 1 4.2 .274 .315 .429 -.016 .273 .319 .425 .257 12.3 114-C 0 3.2
2007 (age 30) 437 45 21 1 12 54 19 50 0 1 3.8 .275 .316 .421 -.025 .273 .321 .417 .255 9.8 104-C 0 2.8
2008 (age 31) 466 49 22 1 14 57 20 55 0 1 3.9 .270 .310 .420 -.040 .268 .315 .416 .252 7.2 110-C -1 2.2
2009 (age 32) 369 34 17 1 11 46 16 42 0 1 3.8 .265 .307 .415 -.054 .264 .312 .411 .250 4.7 88-C 1 1.8
2010 (age 33) 345 32 16 1 10 42 16 41 0 1 3.6 .272 .313 .419 -.035 .270 .317 .415 .253 4.5 83-C 0 1.4

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 0.7 2.5 3.2 $4,175,000 12.3 15.3
2007 0.6 2.2 2.8 $3,475,000 9.8 9.5
2008 0.4 1.8 2.2 $2,675,000 7.2 8.2
2009 0.3 1.5 1.8 $2,200,000 4.7 7.1
2010 0.3 1.1 1.4 $1,675,000 4.5 5.8
Peak 11.3 $11,550,000 38.5 45.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .270 .255 .237 .257
2007 .275 .257 .229 .255
2008 .270 .246 .216 .252
2009 .263 .235 .211 .250
2010 .273 .242 .226 .253


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 8% 0% 15%
2007 21% 4% 13%
2008 34% 15% 11%
2009 49% 26% 11%
2010 63% 42% 8%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

37

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Terry Kennedy 1985 41 11 Greg Myers 1995 22
2 Sandy Alomar 1995 38 12 Toby Hall 2005 22
3 Russ Nixon 1964 36 13 Joe Azcue 1969 22
4 Rich Gedman 1989 30 14 Brian Johnson 1997 21
5 Ed Herrmann 1976 28 15 Sean Casey 2004 21
6 Ben Molina 2004 28 16 B.J. Surhoff 1994 21
7 Mackey Sasser 1992 28 17 Pat Borders 1992 21
8 Ramon Hernandez 2005 28 18 Joe Oliver 1995 20
9 Ed Ott 1981 24 19 Dan Wilson 1998 20
10 Dick Sisler 1950 24 20 Terry Steinbach 1991 20

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