<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
Timo Perez
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit page ]
Left Field
Bats L
Age 31
5' 9"
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 NYN MLB 375 32 21 0 4 42 18 29 5 6 4.8 .269 .301 .364 -.125 .272 .304 .370 .235 -8.6 39-LF -3 1.6
2004 CHA MLB 312 38 12 0 5 40 15 29 3 1 4.8 .246 .285 .338 -.277 .242 .287 .329 .221 -13.1 43-RF 2 0.1
2005 CHA MLB 192 13 8 0 2 15 12 25 2 2 4.3 .218 .266 .296 -.330 .216 .276 .301 .207 -12.2 19-LF 1 0.1


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 233 33 11 1 4 24 13 24 2 2 5.2 .283 .330 .397 -.027 .282 .335 .393 .255 1.2 58-LF 0 0.9
75o 206 25 9 0 3 20 11 23 2 2 4.8 .265 .311 .369 -.108 .264 .315 .366 .239 -2.9 52-LF 0 0.5
60o 182 18 8 0 2 16 10 21 2 1 4.5 .249 .294 .344 -.180 .247 .298 .341 .225 -5.7 47-LF 0 0.2
50o 173 16 7 0 2 15 9 20 1 1 4.3 .243 .287 .334 -.208 .241 .291 .331 .219 -6.5 45-LF 0 0.1
40o 157 13 6 0 2 13 8 19 1 1 4.1 .231 .275 .317 -.258 .230 .279 .314 .207 -7.8 41-LF 0 0.0
25o 123 8 4 0 1 9 6 15 1 0 3.6 .205 .247 .277 -.372 .204 .251 .274 .178 -9.4 33-LF 0 -0.3
10o 72 3 2 0 0 4 3 10 0 0 2.8 .165 .204 .215 -.547 .164 .207 .213 .114 -8.6 22-LF 0 -0.4
Weighted Mean 151 14 6 0 2 14 8 17 1 1 4.6 .253 .297 .349 -.165 .251 .302 .346 .228 -4.5 40-LF 0 0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

38%

54%

36%

47%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 31) 151 14 6 0 2 14 8 17 1 1 4.6 .253 .297 .349 -.165 .251 .302 .346 .228 -4.5 40-LF 0 0.3
2007 (age 32) 173 17 7 0 2 14 9 17 1 1 4.6 .255 .296 .343 -.174 .254 .300 .340 .225 -3.4 45-LF 0 0.2
2008 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --
2009 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 -0.2 0.4 0.3 $475,000 -4.5 0.6
2007 -0.2 0.4 0.2 $450,000 -3.4 0.1
2008 0.0 0.2 0.1 $450,000 -1.9 0.2
2009 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -1.5 0.3
2010 0.0 0.1 0.0 $425,000 -1.0 0.0
Peak 0.7 $425,000 0.0 1.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .239 .219 .178 .228
2007 .246 .224 .174 .225
2008
-- out of baseball --
2009
-- out of baseball --
2010
-- out of baseball --


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 47% 0% 38%
2007 67% 38% 21%
2008 79% 56% 16%
2009 83% 69% 9%
2010 88% 80% 10%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

52

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Bob Boyd 1956 49 11 Scott Bradley 1991 37
2 Bill Bean 1995 49 12 Jose Tartabull 1970 37
3 Terry Francona 1990 43 13 Mike Kingery 1992 37
4 Tony Muser 1978 43 14 Mike Hershberger 1971 37
5 Lynn Jones 1984 42 15 Mike Squires 1983 37
6 Al Pilarcik 1961 41 16 Von Joshua 1979 36
7 Chuck Hiller 1965 39 17 Paul Lehner 1951 36
8 Walt Williams 1975 39 18 Ken Boswell 1977 35
9 Jim Wohlford 1982 38 19 Dave Gallagher 1991 35
10 Dave Martinez 1995 38 20 Mel Clark 1957 34

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2005

Perez was never the player he was trumpeted to be when he was the Big Apple darling for the most stultifyingly dull World Series of recent memory, so there's something embarrassing about his turning up in America's Second City a few years after his 15 minutes were up. It's one of those bad things, like a Danny Bonaduce guest appearance, that you just wish would stop. When you're a fifth outfielder who's not plausibly better than Tom Goodwin, you probably don't deserve to be even Ross Gload's legs.

2003

The trade of Jay Payton forced him into the everyday lineup, which wasn’t the end of the world, but since the revelation that Perez is two years older, what you see is all you’re going to get. With Floyd now manning left field, Perez will still get playing time in center or right at the expense of Burnitz and Cedeno. He’s the only legitimate center fielder of the three.

2002

The late-season wonder child of 2000 came crashing back to earth with a huge splat in 2001. He simply wasn't ready for the majors offensively, and it showed. Perez has the potential to be a good fourth outfielder, especially for a team playing Benny Agbayani in left field, but he may need a bit more time in the minor leagues.

2001

If Timoniel Perez puts up a .291 EqA in 2001, Joe Sheehan will ride the 7 train wearing only a diaper and a "Timo Rocks" tattoo. Perez is another Met who would make a better bench player than regular, though he's not even as good as Melvin Mora for that role. He looks like a heck of a defensive outfielder; given the current makeup of the Mets' rotation, having him and Payton covering right-center might almost be worth the offensive sacrifice.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2006 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.