Timo Perez

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	NYN	MLB	375	32	21	0	4	42	18	29	5	6	4.8	.269	.301	.364	-.125	.272	.304	.370	.235	-8.6	39-LF -3	1.6
2004	CHA	MLB	312	38	12	0	5	40	15	29	3	1	4.8	.246	.285	.338	-.277	.242	.287	.329	.221	-13.1	43-RF 2	0.1
2005	CHA	MLB	192	13	8	0	2	15	12	25	2	2	4.3	.218	.266	.296	-.330	.216	.276	.301	.207	-12.2	19-LF 1	0.1

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	233	33	11	1	4	24	13	24	2	2	5.2	.283	.330	.397	-.027	.282	.335	.393	.255	1.2	58-LF 0	0.9
75^o	206	25	9	0	3	20	11	23	2	2	4.8	.265	.311	.369	-.108	.264	.315	.366	.239	-2.9	52-LF 0	0.5
60^o	182	18	8	0	2	16	10	21	2	1	4.5	.249	.294	.344	-.180	.247	.298	.341	.225	-5.7	47-LF 0	0.2
50^o	173	16	7	0	2	15	9	20	1	1	4.3	.243	.287	.334	-.208	.241	.291	.331	.219	-6.5	45-LF 0	0.1
40^o	157	13	6	0	2	13	8	19	1	1	4.1	.231	.275	.317	-.258	.230	.279	.314	.207	-7.8	41-LF 0	0.0
25^o	123	8	4	0	1	9	6	15	1	0	3.6	.205	.247	.277	-.372	.204	.251	.274	.178	-9.4	33-LF 0	-0.3
10^o	72	3	2	0	0	4	3	10	0	0	2.8	.165	.204	.215	-.547	.164	.207	.213	.114	-8.6	22-LF 0	-0.4
Weighted Mean	151	14	6	0	2	14	8	17	1	1	4.6	.253	.297	.349	-.165	.251	.302	.346	.228	-4.5	40-LF 0	0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
38%	54%	36%	47%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 31)	151	14	6	0	2	14	8	17	1	1	4.6	.253	.297	.349	-.165	.251	.302	.346	.228	-4.5	40-LF 0	0.3
2007 (age 32)	173	17	7	0	2	14	9	17	1	1	4.6	.255	.296	.343	-.174	.254	.300	.340	.225	-3.4	45-LF 0	0.2
2008 (age 33)	-- out of baseball --
2009 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	-0.2	0.4	0.3	$475,000	-4.5	0.6
2007	-0.2	0.4	0.2	$450,000	-3.4	0.1
2008	0.0	0.2	0.1	$450,000	-1.9	0.2
2009	0.0	0.1	0.1	$425,000	-1.5	0.3
2010	0.0	0.1	0.0	$425,000	-1.0	0.0
Peak			0.7	$425,000	0.0	1.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.239	.219	.178	.228
2007	.246	.224	.174	.225
2008	-- out of baseball --
2009	-- out of baseball --
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	47%	0%	38%
2007	67%	38%	21%
2008	79%	56%	16%
2009	83%	69%	9%
2010	88%	80%	10%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

52

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Bob Boyd	1956	49		11	Scott Bradley	1991	37
2	Bill Bean	1995	49		12	Jose Tartabull	1970	37
3	Terry Francona	1990	43		13	Mike Kingery	1992	37
4	Tony Muser	1978	43		14	Mike Hershberger	1971	37
5	Lynn Jones	1984	42		15	Mike Squires	1983	37
6	Al Pilarcik	1961	41		16	Von Joshua	1979	36
7	Chuck Hiller	1965	39		17	Paul Lehner	1951	36
8	Walt Williams	1975	39		18	Ken Boswell	1977	35
9	Jim Wohlford	1982	38		19	Dave Gallagher	1991	35
10	Dave Martinez	1995	38		20	Mel Clark	1957	34

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