Ben Molina

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	ANA	MLB	428	37	24	0	14	71	13	31	1	1	2.8	.281	.304	.443	.006	.283	.312	.456	.260	16.0	108-C 12	4.9
2004	ANA	MLB	361	36	13	0	10	54	18	35	0	1	2.9	.276	.313	.404	-.083	.278	.319	.404	.250	6.0	85-C -4	2.4
2005	ANA	MLB	444	45	17	0	15	69	27	41	0	2	3.0	.295	.336	.446	.072	.305	.355	.475	.282	23.6	97-C -5	4.3

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	426	52	22	0	15	63	23	37	0	1	3.5	.304	.344	.478	.120	.302	.351	.479	.284	25.9	101-C -1	3.9
75^o	399	44	20	0	13	56	21	36	0	1	3.3	.291	.331	.453	.054	.290	.337	.454	.272	18.0	95-C -1	3.2
60^o	374	37	18	0	11	49	19	34	0	1	3.1	.278	.317	.428	-.011	.277	.323	.429	.260	11.0	90-C -1	2.5
50^o	360	33	17	0	10	45	18	33	0	1	3.0	.271	.310	.414	-.046	.269	.316	.415	.253	7.4	87-C -1	2.2
40^o	351	31	16	0	10	43	17	32	0	1	2.9	.266	.305	.405	-.070	.265	.311	.406	.249	5.2	85-C -1	2.0
25^o	318	23	14	0	7	35	15	30	0	0	2.6	.248	.286	.369	-.162	.246	.291	.371	.230	-2.3	77-C -1	1.2
10^o	271	15	11	0	4	26	12	26	0	0	2.3	.221	.258	.317	-.295	.219	.263	.318	.199	-10.7	67-C -1	0.4
Weighted Mean	360	34	17	0	10	47	18	33	0	1	3.1	.274	.313	.420	-.030	.273	.319	.422	.257	8.1	87-C 0	2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
10%	33%	36%	20%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 31)	360	34	17	0	10	47	18	33	0	1	3.1	.274	.313	.420	-.030	.273	.319	.422	.257	8.1	87-C 0	2.3
2007 (age 32)	320	28	15	0	9	42	17	30	0	1	3.0	.272	.311	.415	-.044	.270	.317	.416	.254	6.0	77-C -1	1.7
2008 (age 33)	295	25	14	0	9	38	15	28	0	1	3.1	.277	.317	.427	-.014	.276	.323	.428	.260	6.8	72-C -2	1.5
2009 (age 34)	279	22	12	0	8	36	14	27	0	1	2.9	.270	.307	.407	-.061	.268	.313	.408	.250	3.0	68-C -1	1.1
2010 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.5	1.8	2.3	$2,550,000	8.1	10.8
2007	0.4	1.3	1.7	$1,875,000	6.0	6.6
2008	0.4	1.1	1.5	$1,725,000	6.8	8.1
2009	0.2	0.9	1.1	$1,250,000	3.0	3.7
2010	0.1	0.6	0.6	$875,000	1.4	1.4
Peak			7.2	$6,050,000	25.3	30.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.272	.253	.230	.257
2007	.270	.254	.222	.254
2008	.281	.248	.220	.260
2009	.268	.235	.216	.250
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	20%	0%	10%
2007	40%	11%	11%
2008	51%	21%	16%
2009	64%	40%	5%
2010	79%	52%	4%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

45

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Javy Lopez	2002	48		11	Lamar Johnson	1982	35
2	Sandy Alomar	1998	45		12	Darrin Fletcher	1998	34
3	Ray Fosse	1979	44		13	Paul Lo Duca	2004	32
4	Brian Johnson	1999	42		14	Joe Oliver	1997	32
5	Bob Boone	1979	41		15	Earl Battey	1966	30
6	Brian Harper	1991	41		16	John Flaherty	1999	30
7	Terry Steinbach	1994	39		17	Mike Scioscia	1990	30
8	Del Crandall	1962	38		18	Greg Olson	1992	29
9	Don Leppert	1963	37		19	Matt Batts	1953	29
10	Tom Pagnozzi	1994	35		20	Bo Diaz	1985	28

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