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![]() Player Profile |
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players
| Player Comments
| Year | Tm | Lg | PA | R | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | SPD | AVG | OBP | SLG | MLVr | AVG | OBP | SLG | EqA | VORP | Defense | WARP |
| 2003 | BOS | MLB | 176 | 23 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | .258 | .307 | .448 | -.042 | .255 | .309 | .441 | .255 | 4.2 | 43-C -4 | 0.9 |
| 2004 | BOS | MLB | 182 | 27 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 19 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | .281 | .368 | .525 | .165 | .274 | .363 | .522 | .296 | 13.4 | 42-C -12 | 1.0 |
| 2005 | BOS | MLB | 152 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 4.5 | .228 | .309 | .412 | -.088 | .224 | .316 | .418 | .255 | 3.1 | 35-C 2 | 1.2 |
![]() EQA Distribution |
![]() Five-Year WARP |
| Percentile | PA | R | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | SPD | AVG | OBP | SLG | MLVr | AVG | OBP | SLG | EqA | VORP | Defense | WARP |
| 90o | 172 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 4.9 | .273 | .380 | .506 | .172 | .284 | .390 | .546 | .306 | 15.9 | 44-C -3 | 2.0 |
| 75o | 167 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 4.1 | .236 | .331 | .424 | -.042 | .245 | .339 | .457 | .266 | 6.6 | 43-C -3 | 1.3 |
| 60o | 165 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 3.8 | .222 | .310 | .391 | -.128 | .230 | .318 | .422 | .249 | 3.0 | 43-C -2 | 1.0 |
| 50o | 164 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 3.7 | .215 | .301 | .377 | -.165 | .224 | .309 | .406 | .241 | 1.4 | 43-C -2 | 0.8 |
| 40o | 164 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 3.6 | .212 | .296 | .369 | -.188 | .220 | .304 | .397 | .237 | 0.5 | 43-C -2 | 0.7 |
| 25o | 162 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 3.3 | .193 | .270 | .328 | -.297 | .201 | .277 | .353 | .212 | -3.9 | 42-C -2 | 0.4 |
| 10o | 159 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 2.8 | .169 | .233 | .273 | -.446 | .175 | .239 | .294 | .173 | -9.8 | 41-C -2 | 0.0 |
| Weighted Mean | 146 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 4.1 | .228 | .319 | .405 | -.093 | .236 | .327 | .436 | .256 | 4.1 | 38-C -2 | 1.0 |
| Breakout Rate | Improve Rate | Collapse Rate | Attrition Rate |
16% |
28% |
50% |
46% |
| Year | PA | R | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | SPD | AVG | OBP | SLG | MLVr | AVG | OBP | SLG | EqA | VORP | Defense | WARP |
| 2006 (age 35) | 146 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 4.1 | .228 | .319 | .405 | -.093 | .236 | .327 | .436 | .256 | 4.1 | 38-C -2 | 1.0 |
| 2007 (age 36) | 104 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 4.0 | .227 | .317 | .383 | -.124 | .236 | .325 | .412 | .249 | 1.6 | 29-C -1 | 0.5 |
| 2008 (age 37) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 (age 38) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 (age 39) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Year | OWARP | DWARP | Tot WARP | MORP | Mean VORP | Upside |
| 2006 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | $1,075,000 | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| 2007 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | $650,000 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| 2008 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | $475,000 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 2009 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | $500,000 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 2010 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $400,000 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Peak | 2.0 | $1,250,000 | 6.7 | 7.6 | ||
![]() Stars & Scrubs Chart |
![]() Career Path Analysis |
![]() Five-Year Performance |
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![]() Five-Year Attrition |
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Being a backup catcher is kind of like being a long reliever, but without all the trouble of having to keep your arm in an ice bucket or the whiplash when you give up a home run. Mirabelli once again settled into the role of Wakefield's personal caddy, posting career highs in most offensive categories in the process. The Sox re-signed him pretty early with Varitek an uncertainty at the time. He'll return to being one of the better backup catchers in the game, even while his numbers figure to drop precipitously. Mirabelli has an amazing platoon split, hitting for better than a 1.000 OPS against LHP over the last four years. Jason Varitek struggles against LHP with roughly a .700 OPS over that time. That ought to suggest some sort of ad hoc platoon, giving Varitek some much-needed rest while boosting the offensive production from the position. Instead, Grady Little designated Mirabelli to be Wakefield’s caddy. Go figure. Mirabelli was an offensive star for the Sox, but that obscured two important facts. One is that he’s never hit like this before, so we’re probably looking at a small-sample fluke. The other is that the Sox gave up Justin Duchscherer, a real pitching prospect, for a mediocre backup catcher after passing up all sorts of free catching talent available on waivers or through free agency, such as Ramon Castro, Sal Fasano, Tom Wilson, and Creighton Gubanich. Pitching prospects are scarce. Backup catchers with pop aren’t. Doug Mirabelli can hit better than he showed in 2000. He's about two seasons away from being a certified backup catcher, a role for which he's well suited. He's 29 years old now, and the Giants have never really given him a chance. He isn't good enough to be a regular at the major-league level, but he could be one of the best #2 catchers in the game, which is higher praise than it sounds. Mirabelli will split the Giants’ catching job with Bobby Estalella--picked up from the Phillies for an old whirlpool and some sunflower seeds--and should play less than that projection indicates. Mirabelli has shown occasional signs that he would make a good, inexpensive part-time option at catcher. As the projection above shows, the Giants could do worse than give him the opportunity. Posted a big year in Shreveport in 1996, and is considered by some in the organization to be a better receiver than Jensen. If true, he’ll reach the bigs in late 1997. If not, he’ll probably get converted to another position and fade out of baseball. Make or break year. If he can retain a little of that 1996 performance, he’ll make the bigs and stay there. Might even make a few bucks.
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