<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
Joe Mauer
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit page ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 23
6' 4"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 FTM A+ 261 25 13 1 1 44 24 24 3 0 4.2 .335 .395 .412 .266 .323 .373 .419 .280 18.9 39-C 14 3.5
2003 NBR AA 310 48 17 1 4 41 25 25 0 0 4.0 .341 .400 .453 .259 .315 .369 .435 .280 22.1 58-C 7 3.6
2004 MIN MLB 122 18 8 1 6 17 11 14 1 0 5.4 .308 .369 .570 .273 .305 .372 .562 .311 12.6 28-C 2 1.7
2005 MIN MLB 554 61 26 2 9 55 61 64 13 1 5.7 .294 .372 .411 .080 .299 .386 .422 .289 34.7 111-C 10 6.1


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 630 108 38 4 19 91 54 68 12 4 6.5 .330 .390 .512 .258 .331 .400 .528 .318 64.6 147-C 8 8.5
75o 614 100 37 3 18 85 52 66 11 4 6.2 .322 .381 .495 .215 .322 .392 .511 .310 56.5 144-C 8 7.9
60o 590 88 34 3 15 76 50 64 9 3 5.8 .308 .369 .469 .149 .308 .379 .484 .299 44.5 138-C 8 6.9
50o 580 83 33 3 15 73 49 63 9 3 5.6 .302 .363 .458 .121 .302 .373 .472 .294 39.7 136-C 7 6.5
40o 553 71 29 2 12 63 46 60 8 2 5.1 .285 .347 .426 .041 .286 .357 .440 .279 26.9 130-C 7 5.4
25o 526 60 26 2 10 54 44 57 6 2 4.6 .267 .331 .393 -.041 .268 .340 .406 .263 14.8 124-C 6 4.3
10o 491 48 23 1 7 44 40 53 5 1 4.0 .244 .310 .349 -.148 .245 .318 .361 .241 0.8 116-C 5 3.0
Weighted Mean 577 81 32 2 14 70 49 62 9 3 5.5 .298 .360 .451 .104 .299 .370 .465 .291 33.9 135-C 7 6.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

6%

48%

30%

3%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 23) 577 81 32 2 14 70 49 62 9 3 5.5 .298 .360 .451 .104 .299 .370 .465 .291 33.9 135-C 7 6.0
2007 (age 24) 643 103 38 2 16 81 56 67 17 4 5.0 .308 .370 .467 .148 .308 .380 .482 .301 44.3 150-C 8 6.8
2008 (age 25) 631 101 35 2 18 82 61 70 16 3 4.8 .303 .374 .467 .151 .303 .384 .482 .303 44.4 147-C 10 7.0
2009 (age 26) 642 109 35 3 20 88 66 66 14 4 5.0 .312 .387 .492 .211 .313 .397 .508 .312 49.2 150-C 9 7.1
2010 (age 27) 583 87 31 2 15 69 58 58 15 4 4.8 .298 .370 .454 .124 .299 .380 .469 .297 38.8 136-C 9 6.4

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 2.6 3.4 6.0 $10,925,000 33.9 42.8
2007 3.4 3.4 6.8 $14,175,000 44.3 56.9
2008 3.5 3.6 7.0 $15,875,000 44.4 56.4
2009 3.8 3.3 7.1 $16,775,000 49.2 69.0
2010 3.0 3.4 6.4 $15,100,000 38.8 47.6
Peak 33.9 $65,950,000 218.2 283.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .310 .294 .263 .291
2007 .327 .299 .279 .301
2008 .318 .303 .287 .303
2009 .334 .312 .289 .312
2010 .310 .301 .288 .297


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 3% 0% 6%
2007 8% 0% 35%
2008 7% 2% 24%
2009 16% 5% 47%
2010 9% 5% 14%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

23

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Joe Torre 1963 40 11 Jason Kendall 1997 18
2 Bill Freehan 1965 38 12 Ellis Valentine 1977 15
3 Ted Simmons 1972 29 13 Carlos May 1971 14
4 Austin Kearns 2003 28 14 Chris Chambliss 1972 13
5 Mike Scioscia 1982 27 15 Joe Adcock 1951 13
6 Barry Foote 1975 26 16 Gary Carter 1977 12
7 Michael Barrett 2000 22 17 Terry Puhl 1979 11
8 Kent Hrbek 1983 21 18 Ben Grieve 1999 11
9 Tony Horton 1968 20 19 Ron Hunt 1964 10
10 Ivan Rodriguez 1995 19 20 Keith Hernandez 1977 10

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2005

If Kubel's knee is Questionable Joint #1, Joe Mauer's knee isn't all that far behind as Questionable Joint #1A. The Twins are telling everyone that there's no problem, and if you smoke enough oregano, you might completely believe it. Don't listen, because their actions tell you they're worried. Why else pick up both Mike Redmond and Corky Miller this winter? Even if or when Mauer is healed up, there's still the issue of his size, since he's probably the biggest catcher in the league behind the perpetually fragile Sandy Alomar. It's time to accept that Bunyanesque catchers aren't meant for long and healthy careers. The kid can hit, so the Twins will need to make sure they don't sacrifice his bat if squatting isn't feasible. Stay tuned.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2006 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.