Jason Kendall

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	PIT	MLB	664	84	29	3	6	58	49	40	8	7	4.9	.325	.399	.416	.168	.324	.393	.419	.284	43.3	143-C -8	6.1
2004	PIT	MLB	657	86	32	0	3	51	60	41	11	8	4.9	.319	.399	.390	.135	.316	.394	.387	.277	39.3	142-C 12	7.1
2005	OAK	MLB	676	70	28	1	0	53	50	39	8	3	4.6	.271	.345	.321	-.104	.279	.358	.336	.253	10.5	144-C -6	3.6

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	644	85	31	2	3	60	49	37	11	4	5.2	.302	.367	.378	.024	.306	.378	.393	.277	30.7	150-C 0	5.6
75^o	620	75	29	2	3	55	46	38	10	3	5.0	.290	.354	.363	-.027	.294	.365	.377	.267	21.7	145-C -1	4.7
60^o	591	63	26	2	2	49	42	39	8	3	4.6	.274	.337	.343	-.091	.278	.347	.357	.254	11.0	138-C -1	3.8
50^o	584	61	25	2	2	47	41	39	7	3	4.6	.270	.333	.338	-.107	.274	.343	.352	.250	8.5	137-C -1	3.5
40^o	572	57	24	2	2	45	40	39	7	3	4.4	.264	.326	.330	-.134	.267	.336	.343	.244	4.4	134-C -1	3.1
25^o	554	51	23	2	2	42	37	39	6	2	4.2	.254	.315	.317	-.175	.257	.325	.330	.235	-1.4	130-C -2	2.6
10^o	517	40	20	2	2	35	33	40	3	2	3.8	.232	.291	.290	-.264	.234	.300	.302	.214	-13.0	122-C -2	1.4
Weighted Mean	612	66	27	2	2	50	43	41	8	3	4.6	.270	.333	.338	-.107	.274	.343	.352	.250	10.7	143-C -1	3.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
1%	16%	43%	1%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 32)	612	66	27	2	2	50	43	41	8	3	4.6	.270	.333	.338	-.107	.274	.343	.352	.250	10.7	143-C -1	3.7
2007 (age 33)	587	66	26	1	2	48	45	38	8	3	4.4	.280	.349	.346	-.062	.284	.360	.361	.260	12.5	137-C -1	3.4
2008 (age 34)	522	52	20	1	2	42	40	35	7	3	4.4	.267	.336	.331	-.112	.270	.347	.345	.250	5.0	123-C -1	2.2
2009 (age 35)	490	45	22	1	2	38	38	35	6	2	4.6	.263	.329	.328	-.131	.266	.339	.341	.246	2.6	116-C -1	1.7
2010 (age 36)	437	39	19	1	2	34	36	29	6	2	4.2	.264	.337	.329	-.115	.267	.348	.342	.251	2.8	104-C 1	1.4

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.7	3.0	3.7	$5,025,000	10.7	7.3
2007	0.9	2.5	3.4	$4,750,000	12.5	10.7
2008	0.3	1.9	2.2	$2,750,000	5.0	6.3
2009	0.2	1.5	1.7	$2,075,000	2.6	2.7
2010	0.2	1.2	1.4	$1,750,000	2.8	2.4
Peak			12.5	$13,650,000	33.7	29.4

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.267	.250	.235	.250
2007	.276	.254	.240	.260
2008	.269	.243	.220	.250
2009	.268	.242	.220	.246
2010	.269	.256	.229	.251

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	1%	0%	1%
2007	19%	9%	4%
2008	39%	18%	9%
2009	51%	35%	4%
2010	63%	50%	3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

29

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Brad Ausmus	2001	35		11	Ron Hunt	1973	18
2	Manny Sanguillen	1976	31		12	Dick Groat	1962	18
3	Earl Battey	1967	30		13	Carney Lansford	1989	17
4	Paul Lo Duca	2004	29		14	Danny Cater	1972	16
5	Thurman Munson	1979	23		15	Kevin Seitzer	1994	16
6	Harvey Kuenn	1962	22		16	Terry Steinbach	1994	16
7	Tony Pena	1989	20		17	Mike Lieberthal	2004	15
8	Jim Sundberg	1983	20		18	Pat Tabler	1990	15
9	Jeff Cirillo	2001	19		19	Joe Randa	2001	14
10	Glenn Beckert	1972	18		20	Ken Oberkfell	1988	14

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