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Jason Kendall
Oakland Athletics [ Team Audit page ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 32
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 PIT MLB 664 84 29 3 6 58 49 40 8 7 4.9 .325 .399 .416 .168 .324 .393 .419 .284 43.3 143-C -8 6.1
2004 PIT MLB 657 86 32 0 3 51 60 41 11 8 4.9 .319 .399 .390 .135 .316 .394 .387 .277 39.3 142-C 12 7.1
2005 OAK MLB 676 70 28 1 0 53 50 39 8 3 4.6 .271 .345 .321 -.104 .279 .358 .336 .253 10.5 144-C -6 3.6


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 644 85 31 2 3 60 49 37 11 4 5.2 .302 .367 .378 .024 .306 .378 .393 .277 30.7 150-C 0 5.6
75o 620 75 29 2 3 55 46 38 10 3 5.0 .290 .354 .363 -.027 .294 .365 .377 .267 21.7 145-C -1 4.7
60o 591 63 26 2 2 49 42 39 8 3 4.6 .274 .337 .343 -.091 .278 .347 .357 .254 11.0 138-C -1 3.8
50o 584 61 25 2 2 47 41 39 7 3 4.6 .270 .333 .338 -.107 .274 .343 .352 .250 8.5 137-C -1 3.5
40o 572 57 24 2 2 45 40 39 7 3 4.4 .264 .326 .330 -.134 .267 .336 .343 .244 4.4 134-C -1 3.1
25o 554 51 23 2 2 42 37 39 6 2 4.2 .254 .315 .317 -.175 .257 .325 .330 .235 -1.4 130-C -2 2.6
10o 517 40 20 2 2 35 33 40 3 2 3.8 .232 .291 .290 -.264 .234 .300 .302 .214 -13.0 122-C -2 1.4
Weighted Mean 612 66 27 2 2 50 43 41 8 3 4.6 .270 .333 .338 -.107 .274 .343 .352 .250 10.7 143-C -1 3.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

1%

16%

43%

1%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 32) 612 66 27 2 2 50 43 41 8 3 4.6 .270 .333 .338 -.107 .274 .343 .352 .250 10.7 143-C -1 3.7
2007 (age 33) 587 66 26 1 2 48 45 38 8 3 4.4 .280 .349 .346 -.062 .284 .360 .361 .260 12.5 137-C -1 3.4
2008 (age 34) 522 52 20 1 2 42 40 35 7 3 4.4 .267 .336 .331 -.112 .270 .347 .345 .250 5.0 123-C -1 2.2
2009 (age 35) 490 45 22 1 2 38 38 35 6 2 4.6 .263 .329 .328 -.131 .266 .339 .341 .246 2.6 116-C -1 1.7
2010 (age 36) 437 39 19 1 2 34 36 29 6 2 4.2 .264 .337 .329 -.115 .267 .348 .342 .251 2.8 104-C 1 1.4

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 0.7 3.0 3.7 $5,025,000 10.7 7.3
2007 0.9 2.5 3.4 $4,750,000 12.5 10.7
2008 0.3 1.9 2.2 $2,750,000 5.0 6.3
2009 0.2 1.5 1.7 $2,075,000 2.6 2.7
2010 0.2 1.2 1.4 $1,750,000 2.8 2.4
Peak 12.5 $13,650,000 33.7 29.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .267 .250 .235 .250
2007 .276 .254 .240 .260
2008 .269 .243 .220 .250
2009 .268 .242 .220 .246
2010 .269 .256 .229 .251


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 1% 0% 1%
2007 19% 9% 4%
2008 39% 18% 9%
2009 51% 35% 4%
2010 63% 50% 3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

29

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brad Ausmus 2001 35 11 Ron Hunt 1973 18
2 Manny Sanguillen 1976 31 12 Dick Groat 1962 18
3 Earl Battey 1967 30 13 Carney Lansford 1989 17
4 Paul Lo Duca 2004 29 14 Danny Cater 1972 16
5 Thurman Munson 1979 23 15 Kevin Seitzer 1994 16
6 Harvey Kuenn 1962 22 16 Terry Steinbach 1994 16
7 Tony Pena 1989 20 17 Mike Lieberthal 2004 15
8 Jim Sundberg 1983 20 18 Pat Tabler 1990 15
9 Jeff Cirillo 2001 19 19 Joe Randa 2001 14
10 Glenn Beckert 1972 18 20 Ken Oberkfell 1988 14

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2005

So a big sigh of relief, he's no longer the big contract Littlefield inherited, and Kendall can get on with playing somewhere consequential in the standings. With Oakland, it won't matter if he bats first or second; neither he nor Kotsay run enough to create distractions for the other, so Ken Macha can play platoon percentages or fuss about having Kotsay having the 'hole' to take advantage of with Kendall on base. He should profit from seeing his catching workload decrease to 120 games behind the plate while soaking up some DH at-bats, which might prolong his career to the point where he'll be a serious Hall of Fame candidate.

2003

Kendall’s offensive drop-off is alarming. He’s stopped taking walks, he no longer hits for power, and he doesn’t run as well as he did before his ankle injury despite being a top-of-the-order hitter. Obviously, his career is in crisis in tandem with the Pirates’ budget: it’s not Kendall’s defense that has kept him in the majors, and the Bucs would love to unload his $10 million/ year contract. That’ll be tough, with both his ironclad no-trade clause and struggles to get on base and hit the ball with authority clouding the picture. Lloyd McClendon is planning on using Kendall as a leadoff hitter in 2003; maybe that will force him to start taking some pitches again.

2002

Kendall played the whole year with a bum thumb (not the same as having your thumb up your bum) and easily had his worst year in the majors. He had surgery to correct the problem in October and should be fine for spring training. This was his age 27 year, so don’t be surprised if he rebounds and has a performance spike all at once. The left-field experiment is over.

2001

He’s doomed to second-string All-Star status as long as Mike Piazza is behind the plate, but Jason Kendall has firmly landed himself on the list of the best players in baseball and is just entering his power peak. Signing him for $60 million over six years was an excellent decision. Considering where the market went after he signed, Kendall might be a bargain at $10 million per year.

2000

Kendall was on pace for a career year in all categories when his foot fell off in a freak play in early July. He took the brace off in mid-September and is expected to be at full strength by the start of spring training, but his days as a prolific and high-percentage basestealer may be over.

1999

The best story on the Pirates. Kendall took huge steps forward at the plate, on the bases, in the field, and in the clubhouse, becoming the team's unquestioned leader and occasional mouthpiece. He's a player you lock up long-term and build around, and the Pirates are trying to do just that.

1998

More power, more walks and a much better year behind the plate. The Pirates have only signed one young player to a long-term contract so far, and they picked a great one.

1997

He managed a rare feat for the Pirates: retaining the offensive performance he showed in the minors. His 1996 was a carbon copy of 1995. He showed steady improvement through the minors, and I’d expect him to resume an upward climb towards .300. His defense was puzzling: he was among the best at stopping baserunners at Carolina in ’95, but surrendered more stolen bases than any catcher but Piazza while committing 18 errors. He’s tough to strike out and easy to hit, with a 76-to-44 strikeout to HBP ratio over the last three years.

1996

Probably the best prospect in the organization. Catcher, still young, doing all the right things, and getting a bit better at everything each year. Probably needs a little over a year in AAA, or perhaps a September callup. Will be a very good one, I think. Probably will not retain all of the gains he made with the bat in 1995, but won't slip very much, and that's still a darn good trend. Probably the only Pirate hitting prospect with any star potential, really.


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