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Bobby Jenks
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit page ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 25
6' 3"
240 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2003 ARK AA 7 2 0 16 16 83.0 56 51 103 2 -- .270 26 1.29 2.17 4.40 3.48 7.3 6.8 8.5 0.5 18.3 -- 3.1
2004 SLC AAA 0 1 0 3 3 12.3 19 6 13 1 -- .462 0 2.03 8.05 4.05 8.78 10.8 4.1 6.8 0.7 -4.7 -- -0.2
2005 BIR AA 1 2 19 35 0 41.0 34 20 48 1 61% .320 -2 1.32 2.85 4.38 5.31 8.5 5.1 6.9 0.5 1.3 -- 1.2
2005 CHA MLB 1 1 6 32 0 39.3 34 15 50 3 47% .316 35 1.25 2.75 2.95 3.18 7.5 3.4 11.1 0.7 10.4 1.4 1.6


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 4 37 66 0 60.3 47 28 63 3 51% .280 21 1.24 2.59 2.92 2.57 6.7 4.1 9.1 0.4 20.7 3.1 5.5
75o 3 4 24 55 0 51.3 45 28 52 4 50% .298 14 1.42 3.82 3.85 3.79 7.7 4.7 8.8 0.7 10.2 1.4 2.9
60o 3 4 21 53 0 49.7 45 28 50 4 50% .302 12 1.46 4.09 4.07 4.07 7.8 4.9 8.6 0.7 8.2 1.1 2.4
50o 3 4 17 49 0 46.3 44 27 46 4 50% .308 8 1.53 4.58 4.44 4.55 8.2 5.1 8.5 0.8 5.0 0.6 1.7
40o 2 4 16 47 0 44.7 43 27 44 5 50% .311 7 1.56 4.79 4.60 4.76 8.4 5.3 8.5 0.8 3.8 0.5 1.4
25o 2 3 13 43 0 41.3 42 26 40 5 50% .318 4 1.63 5.31 5.00 5.27 8.8 5.5 8.4 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.9
10o 1 3 6 33 0 32.3 37 23 30 5 49% .335 -6 1.85 6.80 6.16 6.75 9.9 6.3 8.0 1.2 -4.8 -0.5 -0.1
Weighted Mean 3 4 20 52 0 48.7 45 28 49 4 50% .304 10 1.48 4.26 4.19 4.78 8.0 5.0 8.6 0.7 7.0 0.9 2.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

21%

46%

25%

31%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 (age 25) 3 4 20 52 0 48.7 45 28 49 4 50% .304 10 1.48 4.26 4.19 4.78 8.0 5.0 8.6 0.7 7.0 0.9 2.1
2007 (age 26) 3 4 24 61 0 56.3 51 29 53 6 48% .290 7 1.42 4.17 4.11 4.13 7.9 4.5 8.1 0.9 7.7 1.1 2.2
2008 (age 27) 3 5 24 61 0 57.3 50 29 54 5 47% .286 9 1.37 4.08 3.72 4.07 7.6 4.4 8.1 0.7 9.1 1.2 2.6
2009 (age 28) 3 4 22 57 0 53.3 50 28 52 5 49% .303 9 1.44 4.28 4.15 4.25 8.1 4.6 8.5 0.8 7.6 1.0 2.2
2010 (age 29) 2 3 16 39 0 38.0 34 19 36 4 50% .288 9 1.37 3.99 3.84 3.97 7.7 4.3 8.1 0.8 8.3 0.9 2.3

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 2.1 $2,275,000 7.1 6.1
2007 2.2 $2,600,000 7.8 7.1
2008 2.6 $3,375,000 9.2 7.2
2009 2.2 $2,850,000 7.7 8.0
2010 2.3 $3,100,000 8.3 7.7
Peak 11.4 $11,225,000 40.0 36.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 3.80 4.56 5.28 4.78
2007 3.49 4.10 5.58 4.13
2008 3.72 4.24 5.67 4.07
2009 3.61 4.17 5.93 4.25
2010 3.75 4.44 5.50 3.97


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 31% 0% 21%
2007 35% 17% 15%
2008 30% 9% 13%
2009 47% 20% 14%
2010 48% 17% 7%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

27

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Sammy Stewart 1980 52 11 Duane Ward 1989 29
2 Mark Wohlers 1995 51 12 Scott Radinsky 1993 28
3 Ken Ryan 1994 40 13 Larry Sherry 1960 27
4 John Pacella 1982 35 14 Lee Smith 1983 27
5 Mac Scarce 1974 34 15 Kevin Ritz 1990 27
6 Kenny Rogers 1990 34 16 Pete Mikkelsen 1965 25
7 Turk Farrell 1959 33 17 Russ Kemmerer 1957 25
8 Eric Plunk 1988 31 18 Andres Berumen 1996 25
9 Bill Simas 1997 30 19 Jay Powell 1997 24
10 Dennys Reyes 2002 30 20 Billy Koch 2000 23

Player Comments

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2005

Taking up space on the 40-man roster like a car that's been booted, Jenks missed most of the season with a "stress reaction," the precursor to a stress fracture. It's the second time he's been shelved for this reason, and pins have been inserted into his elbow in hopes that these will hold it together. As in the old TMBG song, Jenks throws sapphire bullets of pure love, topping 102 mph in winter ball. Unfortunately, the speed is as untamed, as 6.2 walks per nine attest. He looked great at Double-A Arkansas in 2003, but he now has three hurdles—personality/maturity, health and control—to jump before he can have a notable major league career. Those are long odds. Claimed on waivers by the White Sox, who haven't had a lot of success turning minor league projects into major league pitchers in recent years. The odds just got longer.


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