Ramon Hernandez

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	OAK	MLB	534	70	24	1	21	78	33	79	0	0	3.7	.273	.331	.458	.068	.273	.335	.463	.272	27.9	132-C 7	5.5
2004	SDN	MLB	428	45	23	0	18	63	35	45	1	0	3.7	.276	.341	.477	.121	.282	.345	.487	.282	25.0	104-C 1	5.0
2005	SDN	MLB	391	36	19	2	12	58	18	40	1	0	4.0	.290	.322	.450	.080	.298	.332	.473	.274	20.7	90-C -2	3.7

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	501	72	27	1	20	79	33	55	0	1	4.5	.309	.360	.505	.183	.314	.371	.529	.303	44.2	118-C -1	5.8
75^o	476	62	24	1	18	71	30	53	0	1	4.3	.298	.348	.480	.123	.303	.358	.503	.292	34.7	112-C -1	5.0
60^o	448	53	22	1	15	63	27	51	0	0	4.0	.285	.334	.452	.053	.289	.344	.474	.280	24.8	106-C -1	4.1
50^o	438	50	21	1	14	60	26	50	0	0	3.9	.280	.329	.443	.030	.285	.339	.464	.275	21.7	104-C -1	3.8
40^o	427	47	20	1	13	57	25	49	0	0	3.8	.275	.324	.431	.001	.279	.333	.452	.270	18.0	102-C -1	3.5
25^o	398	38	17	1	11	50	22	47	0	0	3.6	.261	.309	.401	-.074	.265	.318	.420	.255	9.4	95-C -1	2.7
10^o	350	27	13	0	7	38	18	42	0	0	3.1	.235	.281	.346	-.208	.239	.290	.363	.226	-3.6	84-C -1	1.4
Weighted Mean	453	53	22	1	15	62	27	52	0	0	4.0	.281	.330	.444	.032	.285	.340	.465	.276	21.4	107-C -1	3.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
6%	34%	28%	11%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 30)	453	53	22	1	15	62	27	52	0	0	4.0	.281	.330	.444	.032	.285	.340	.465	.276	21.4	107-C -1	3.8
2007 (age 31)	418	46	19	1	13	56	26	49	0	0	3.8	.279	.329	.436	.019	.284	.339	.457	.273	17.4	99-C 1	3.3
2008 (age 32)	382	39	17	1	11	49	24	44	0	0	3.9	.276	.325	.427	-.002	.280	.335	.447	.269	12.6	91-C 0	2.5
2009 (age 33)	310	30	14	1	9	41	19	37	0	0	3.8	.278	.327	.431	.008	.283	.337	.451	.271	10.8	75-C 1	2.2
2010 (age 34)	333	34	15	1	11	45	21	39	0	0	3.7	.282	.334	.445	.043	.287	.344	.467	.278	10.5	80-C 0	1.8

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	1.5	2.3	3.8	$5,250,000	21.4	20.8
2007	1.2	2.1	3.3	$4,500,000	17.4	19.2
2008	0.9	1.6	2.5	$3,200,000	12.6	14.8
2009	0.7	1.4	2.2	$2,775,000	10.8	12.0
2010	0.7	1.1	1.8	$2,350,000	10.5	12.8
Peak			13.6	$15,175,000	72.7	79.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.292	.275	.255	.276
2007	.289	.262	.243	.273
2008	.287	.266	.238	.269
2009	.289	.263	.232	.271
2010	.295	.265	.238	.278

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	11%	0%	6%
2007	22%	6%	8%
2008	41%	15%	6%
2009	51%	20%	5%
2010	64%	36%	10%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

56

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Joe Azcue	1969	68		11	Don Pavletich	1968	45
2	Del Crandall	1960	57		12	Tony Pena	1987	45
3	Bo Diaz	1983	55		13	Elston Howard	1959	43
4	Hal Smith	1961	54		14	Dan Wilson	1999	42
5	Earl Battey	1965	52		15	Pat Borders	1993	42
6	Terry Steinbach	1992	52		16	Thurman Munson	1977	42
7	Javy Lopez	2000	51		17	Steve Nicosia	1985	39
8	Sandy Alomar	1996	49		18	Joe Torre	1970	38
9	Duane Josephson	1972	48		19	Manny Sanguillen	1974	38
10	Paul Lo Duca	2002	46		20	Jim Sundberg	1981	37

Baseball Prospectus Home | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2006 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.