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Dustin Hermanson
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit page ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 33
6' 2"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2003 FRE AAA 0 1 0 4 4 26.0 29 3 17 2 -- .307 3 1.23 4.85 4.56 5.96 9.8 1.4 4.6 1.1 -1.0 -- 0.2
2003 SFN MLB 2 1 0 9 6 39.0 35 10 27 5 45% .261 8 1.15 3.00 4.50 3.55 9.0 2.1 5.7 1.2 10.8 1.0 1.2
2003 SLN MLB 1 2 1 23 0 29.7 35 14 12 4 49% .326 -28 1.65 5.45 5.70 5.70 10.5 3.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.5
2004 SFN MLB 6 9 17 47 18 131.0 132 46 102 15 45% .302 4 1.36 4.53 4.33 4.74 9.0 2.9 6.2 1.0 14.3 2.6 4.0
2005 CHA MLB 2 4 34 57 0 57.3 46 17 33 4 39% .247 1 1.10 2.04 4.04 2.75 8.2 2.7 5.3 0.6 19.9 3.9 4.9


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 3 2 4 50 0 56.0 53 17 39 6 41% .273 1 1.25 3.30 3.59 3.21 8.2 2.7 6.0 0.9 14.9 1.3 2.2
75o 3 2 3 47 0 52.3 52 17 36 7 41% .281 -2 1.31 3.81 3.95 3.71 8.7 2.8 5.9 1.0 10.9 0.9 1.7
60o 3 2 3 45 0 50.3 52 16 34 7 41% .286 -4 1.35 4.12 4.18 4.02 8.9 2.8 5.8 1.1 8.6 0.7 1.4
50o 2 2 3 44 0 48.7 51 16 32 7 41% .290 -5 1.38 4.35 4.34 4.24 9.1 2.9 5.8 1.1 7.1 0.6 1.3
40o 2 2 2 40 0 45.3 50 16 29 7 41% .298 -8 1.45 4.88 4.73 4.77 9.6 3.0 5.6 1.2 3.8 0.3 0.9
25o 2 2 1 36 0 40.7 48 15 26 7 41% .308 -12 1.54 5.60 5.26 5.47 10.2 3.2 5.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.5
10o 1 2 1 29 0 32.3 42 13 19 6 42% .327 -19 1.71 7.02 6.30 6.86 11.4 3.5 5.1 1.6 -5.2 -0.5 -0.1
Weighted Mean 2 3 3 45 0 50.0 54 17 33 7 41% .293 -6 1.41 4.56 4.50 4.69 9.3 3.0 5.7 1.2 5.8 0.5 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

14%

44%

29%

22%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 (age 33) 2 3 3 45 0 50.0 54 17 33 7 41% .293 -6 1.41 4.56 4.50 4.69 9.3 3.0 5.7 1.2 5.8 0.5 1.1
2007 (age 34) 3 3 3 47 0 52.3 56 16 33 8 41% .287 -8 1.38 4.64 4.53 4.52 9.3 2.7 5.5 1.3 4.6 0.5 0.9
2008 (age 35) 2 2 2 40 0 44.0 49 14 26 7 38% .291 -11 1.41 4.70 4.63 4.56 9.6 2.7 5.1 1.3 2.7 0.4 0.5
2009 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 1.1 $1,150,000 5.9 4.7
2007 0.9 $975,000 4.7 4.4
2008 0.5 $725,000 2.7 2.1
2009 0.6 $775,000 3.7 3.2
2010 0.4 $675,000 2.6 2.7
Peak 3.5 $2,325,000 19.5 17.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 3.73 4.25 5.48 4.69
2007 3.77 4.86 5.60 4.52
2008 4.08 4.61 5.78 4.56
2009
-- out of baseball --
2010
-- out of baseball --


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 22% 0% 14%
2007 46% 24% 8%
2008 60% 42% 5%
2009 66% 57% 9%
2010 76% 64% 9%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

64

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Juan Acevedo 2003 64 11 Bill Campbell 1982 51
2 Dick Tidrow 1980 61 12 Scott Sullivan 2004 51
3 Dick Drago 1979 61 13 Jim Acker 1992 50
4 Darren Holmes 1999 58 14 Mike Henneman 1995 50
5 Joe Boever 1994 57 15 Don Nottebart 1969 50
6 Don Aase 1988 57 16 Turk Wendell 2000 50
7 Tim Burke 1992 56 17 Jeff Russell 1995 50
8 Dave Weathers 2003 55 18 Dan Miceli 2004 49
9 Dan Spillner 1985 52 19 Brian Boehringer 2002 49
10 Mike Williams 2003 51 20 Tim Worrell 2001 49

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