Dustin Hermanson

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2003	FRE	AAA	0	1	0	4	4	26.0	29	3	17	2	--	.307	3	1.23	4.85	4.56	5.96	9.8	1.4	4.6	1.1	-1.0	--	0.2
2003	SFN	MLB	2	1	0	9	6	39.0	35	10	27	5	45%	.261	8	1.15	3.00	4.50	3.55	9.0	2.1	5.7	1.2	10.8	1.0	1.2
2003	SLN	MLB	1	2	1	23	0	29.7	35	14	12	4	49%	.326	-28	1.65	5.45	5.70	5.70	10.5	3.9	3.3	1.2	0.3	0.3	0.5
2004	SFN	MLB	6	9	17	47	18	131.0	132	46	102	15	45%	.302	4	1.36	4.53	4.33	4.74	9.0	2.9	6.2	1.0	14.3	2.6	4.0
2005	CHA	MLB	2	4	34	57	0	57.3	46	17	33	4	39%	.247	1	1.10	2.04	4.04	2.75	8.2	2.7	5.3	0.6	19.9	3.9	4.9

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
90^o	3	2	4	50	0	56.0	53	17	39	6	41%	.273	1	1.25	3.30	3.59	3.21	8.2	2.7	6.0	0.9	14.9	1.3	2.2
75^o	3	2	3	47	0	52.3	52	17	36	7	41%	.281	-2	1.31	3.81	3.95	3.71	8.7	2.8	5.9	1.0	10.9	0.9	1.7
60^o	3	2	3	45	0	50.3	52	16	34	7	41%	.286	-4	1.35	4.12	4.18	4.02	8.9	2.8	5.8	1.1	8.6	0.7	1.4
50^o	2	2	3	44	0	48.7	51	16	32	7	41%	.290	-5	1.38	4.35	4.34	4.24	9.1	2.9	5.8	1.1	7.1	0.6	1.3
40^o	2	2	2	40	0	45.3	50	16	29	7	41%	.298	-8	1.45	4.88	4.73	4.77	9.6	3.0	5.6	1.2	3.8	0.3	0.9
25^o	2	2	1	36	0	40.7	48	15	26	7	41%	.308	-12	1.54	5.60	5.26	5.47	10.2	3.2	5.4	1.3	0.1	0.0	0.5
10^o	1	2	1	29	0	32.3	42	13	19	6	42%	.327	-19	1.71	7.02	6.30	6.86	11.4	3.5	5.1	1.6	-5.2	-0.5	-0.1
Weighted Mean	2	3	3	45	0	50.0	54	17	33	7	41%	.293	-6	1.41	4.56	4.50	4.69	9.3	3.0	5.7	1.2	5.8	0.5	1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
14%	44%	29%	22%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2006 (age 33)	2	3	3	45	0	50.0	54	17	33	7	41%	.293	-6	1.41	4.56	4.50	4.69	9.3	3.0	5.7	1.2	5.8	0.5	1.1
2007 (age 34)	3	3	3	47	0	52.3	56	16	33	8	41%	.287	-8	1.38	4.64	4.53	4.52	9.3	2.7	5.5	1.3	4.6	0.5	0.9
2008 (age 35)	2	2	2	40	0	44.0	49	14	26	7	38%	.291	-11	1.41	4.70	4.63	4.56	9.6	2.7	5.1	1.3	2.7	0.4	0.5
2009 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	1.1	$1,150,000	5.9	4.7
2007	0.9	$975,000	4.7	4.4
2008	0.5	$725,000	2.7	2.1
2009	0.6	$775,000	3.7	3.2
2010	0.4	$675,000	2.6	2.7
Peak	3.5	$2,325,000	19.5	17.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	3.73	4.25	5.48	4.69
2007	3.77	4.86	5.60	4.52
2008	4.08	4.61	5.78	4.56
2009	-- out of baseball --
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	22%	0%	14%
2007	46%	24%	8%
2008	60%	42%	5%
2009	66%	57%	9%
2010	76%	64%	9%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

64

Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend
1	Juan Acevedo	2003	64		11	Bill Campbell	1982	51
2	Dick Tidrow	1980	61		12	Scott Sullivan	2004	51
3	Dick Drago	1979	61		13	Jim Acker	1992	50
4	Darren Holmes	1999	58		14	Mike Henneman	1995	50
5	Joe Boever	1994	57		15	Don Nottebart	1969	50
6	Don Aase	1988	57		16	Turk Wendell	2000	50
7	Tim Burke	1992	56		17	Jeff Russell	1995	50
8	Dave Weathers	2003	55		18	Dan Miceli	2004	49
9	Dan Spillner	1985	52		19	Brian Boehringer	2002	49
10	Mike Williams	2003	51		20	Tim Worrell	2001	49

Baseball Prospectus Home | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2006 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.