Ross Gload

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	CHR	AAA	544	72	40	6	18	70	29	60	6	3	5.2	.315	.349	.524	.258	.284	.323	.471	.269	16.8	102-1B 6	3.6
2004	CHA	MLB	259	28	16	0	7	44	20	37	0	3	2.5	.321	.375	.479	.141	.319	.376	.485	.290	11.8	25-1B -2	1.6
2005	CHR	AAA	262	45	22	1	15	45	22	37	0	1	4.4	.364	.416	.657	.550	.307	.358	.527	.295	19.3	37-1B 5	2.5
2005	CHA	MLB	44	2	2	0	0	5	2	9	0	0	3.5	.167	.205	.214	-.564	.171	.227	.220	.166	-5.2		-0.3

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	398	62	24	2	18	65	25	61	0	1	4.7	.305	.351	.528	.197	.303	.356	.524	.297	21.8	95-1B -1	2.9
75^o	369	51	21	1	15	56	23	59	0	1	4.4	.289	.336	.496	.117	.288	.341	.492	.283	13.1	88-1B -1	2.2
60^o	341	42	18	1	13	48	21	57	0	1	4.1	.275	.321	.465	.041	.273	.326	.461	.269	6.0	82-1B 0	1.6
50^o	329	38	17	1	12	45	20	55	0	1	4.0	.268	.315	.451	.007	.266	.319	.447	.263	3.1	80-1B 0	1.3
40^o	313	33	16	1	11	41	18	54	0	1	3.8	.259	.306	.432	-.039	.257	.310	.428	.254	-0.6	76-1B 0	1.0
25^o	276	24	13	1	8	33	16	50	0	0	3.4	.238	.285	.387	-.148	.236	.289	.383	.232	-7.7	68-1B 0	0.4
10^o	236	16	9	1	5	25	13	44	0	0	3.0	.213	.260	.334	-.274	.211	.263	.331	.204	-13.7	59-1B 1	-0.2
Weighted Mean	314	36	17	1	12	45	19	52	0	1	4.1	.271	.318	.458	.024	.270	.323	.454	.266	4.3	76-1B 0	1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
6%	26%	46%	28%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 30)	314	36	17	1	12	45	19	52	0	1	4.1	.271	.318	.458	.024	.270	.323	.454	.266	4.3	76-1B 0	1.4
2007 (age 31)	262	29	14	1	10	37	17	43	0	0	3.8	.275	.324	.461	.041	.273	.329	.457	.270	4.1	65-1B 1	1.1
2008 (age 32)	249	27	13	1	10	35	16	40	0	0	3.9	.278	.327	.468	.058	.276	.332	.464	.273	4.0	62-1B 0	0.9
2009 (age 33)	230	23	12	1	8	33	16	37	0	0	3.7	.265	.319	.450	.011	.263	.324	.446	.265	1.2	57-1B 0	0.5
2010 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.8	0.6	1.4	$1,425,000	4.3	8.1
2007	0.7	0.5	1.1	$1,225,000	4.1	6.0
2008	0.6	0.3	0.9	$1,025,000	4.0	5.7
2009	0.3	0.2	0.5	$725,000	1.2	2.3
2010	0.2	0.1	0.3	$625,000	0.9	2.6
Peak			4.3	$3,000,000	14.6	24.8

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.283	.263	.232	.266
2007	.285	.263	.241	.270
2008	.294	.259	.222	.273
2009	.282	.251	.223	.265
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	28%	0%	6%
2007	56%	18%	10%
2008	61%	33%	9%
2009	72%	46%	7%
2010	83%	62%	5%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

56

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Wes Covington	1962	57		11	Ron Coomer	1997	41
2	Jerry Lynch	1960	50		12	Fred Whitfield	1968	40
3	Dick Kryhoski	1955	50		13	Norm Larker	1961	39
4	Hal Rice	1954	49		14	Jim Holt	1974	39
5	Pat Putnam	1984	48		15	Gordy Coleman	1964	39
6	Larry Sheets	1990	46		16	Ron Jackson	1983	38
7	Ray Barker	1966	46		17	Mike Greenwell	1993	38
8	Mel Hall	1990	45		18	Rich Reese	1971	37
9	Robert Fick	2004	43		19	Rip Repulski	1957	37
10	Rondell White	2002	42		20	Travis Lee	2005	37

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