Jermaine Dye

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	SAC	AAA	60	9	2	0	2	9	11	11	0	0	3.4	.286	.417	.449	.226	.262	.376	.425	.281	2.6		0.6
2003	OAK	MLB	253	28	6	0	4	20	25	42	1	0	3.8	.172	.261	.253	-.402	.169	.262	.256	.196	-21.0	56-RF 3	1.1
2004	OAK	MLB	590	87	29	4	23	80	49	128	4	2	5.0	.265	.329	.464	.004	.263	.330	.468	.271	12.0	130-RF 2	3.4
2005	CHA	MLB	579	74	29	2	31	86	39	99	11	4	4.9	.274	.333	.512	.128	.278	.346	.534	.291	27.7	136-RF 2	4.6

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	459	66	22	2	23	69	38	80	6	3	5.0	.290	.354	.521	.178	.288	.359	.516	.296	22.4	109-RF 0	3.8
75^o	460	63	21	2	22	67	37	82	6	3	4.9	.279	.343	.498	.121	.277	.348	.493	.287	16.2	109-RF 0	3.4
60^o	460	60	21	2	21	66	36	84	6	3	4.8	.271	.335	.482	.081	.269	.339	.477	.280	11.8	109-RF 1	3.1
50^o	461	59	21	2	20	65	36	86	6	2	4.7	.265	.328	.469	.050	.263	.333	.465	.274	8.5	109-RF 1	2.8
40^o	461	56	20	2	19	63	35	88	5	2	4.5	.257	.319	.451	.005	.255	.324	.447	.266	3.6	109-RF 1	2.5
25^o	463	50	19	2	17	60	34	92	5	2	4.3	.237	.298	.410	-.096	.235	.303	.406	.247	-7.6	110-RF 1	1.7
10^o	466	40	18	1	13	54	31	99	5	1	3.9	.205	.264	.342	-.260	.204	.268	.339	.211	-25.9	110-RF 1	0.3
Weighted Mean	495	65	22	2	22	70	38	92	6	3	4.7	.264	.327	.467	.046	.263	.332	.463	.273	7.9	117-RF 0	2.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
14%	53%	27%	15%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 32)	495	65	22	2	22	70	38	92	6	3	4.7	.264	.327	.467	.046	.263	.332	.463	.273	7.9	117-RF 0	2.7
2007 (age 33)	454	56	21	1	19	64	35	85	4	2	4.4	.262	.325	.462	.033	.261	.330	.458	.271	5.3	108-RF -1	2.0
2008 (age 34)	333	37	15	1	14	48	27	61	3	2	4.2	.260	.326	.456	.026	.258	.331	.452	.270	3.4	81-RF -2	1.4
2009 (age 35)	385	45	17	1	16	54	32	73	5	2	4.3	.263	.329	.458	.034	.261	.334	.453	.272	2.9	92-RF 0	1.2
2010 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	1.5	1.3	2.7	$3,250,000	7.9	11.5
2007	1.1	0.9	2.0	$2,300,000	5.3	5.6
2008	0.8	0.6	1.4	$1,525,000	3.4	4.8
2009	0.6	0.5	1.2	$1,350,000	2.9	2.8
2010	0.4	0.2	0.6	$850,000	1.7	2.1
Peak			7.8	$7,050,000	21.2	26.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.287	.274	.247	.273
2007	.287	.266	.247	.271
2008	.286	.261	.236	.270
2009	.287	.266	.251	.272
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	15%	0%	14%
2007	35%	13%	14%
2008	56%	23%	14%
2009	66%	46%	7%
2010	78%	59%	4%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

59

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Larry Parrish	1986	54		11	Dick Stuart	1965	45
2	Jim Lemon	1960	51		12	Gus Zernial	1955	44
3	Tom Brunansky	1993	50		13	Hoot Evers	1953	44
4	Kevin Young	2001	49		14	Doug Rader	1977	43
5	Derek Bell	2001	48		15	Joe Rudi	1979	42
6	Deron Johnson	1970	48		16	Al Cowens	1984	42
7	Dave Henderson	1990	47		17	Jeffrey Hammonds	2003	42
8	Frank Thomas	1961	46		18	Richie Zisk	1981	41
9	Gary Ward	1986	46		19	Larry Herndon	1986	41
10	Glenallen Hill	1997	45		20	Al Smith	1960	41

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