|
![]() Player Profile |
|
Other References Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card baseball-reference Player Card ESPN Player Card tsn.ca Player Card |
Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players
| Player Comments
| Year | Tm | Lg | PA | R | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | SPD | AVG | OBP | SLG | MLVr | AVG | OBP | SLG | EqA | VORP | Defense | WARP |
| 2003 | SAC | AAA | 60 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | .286 | .417 | .449 | .226 | .262 | .376 | .425 | .281 | 2.6 | 0.6 | |
| 2003 | OAK | MLB | 253 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 3.8 | .172 | .261 | .253 | -.402 | .169 | .262 | .256 | .196 | -21.0 | 56-RF 3 | 1.1 |
| 2004 | OAK | MLB | 590 | 87 | 29 | 4 | 23 | 80 | 49 | 128 | 4 | 2 | 5.0 | .265 | .329 | .464 | .004 | .263 | .330 | .468 | .271 | 12.0 | 130-RF 2 | 3.4 |
| 2005 | CHA | MLB | 579 | 74 | 29 | 2 | 31 | 86 | 39 | 99 | 11 | 4 | 4.9 | .274 | .333 | .512 | .128 | .278 | .346 | .534 | .291 | 27.7 | 136-RF 2 | 4.6 |
![]() EQA Distribution |
![]() Five-Year WARP |
| Percentile | PA | R | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | SPD | AVG | OBP | SLG | MLVr | AVG | OBP | SLG | EqA | VORP | Defense | WARP |
| 90o | 459 | 66 | 22 | 2 | 23 | 69 | 38 | 80 | 6 | 3 | 5.0 | .290 | .354 | .521 | .178 | .288 | .359 | .516 | .296 | 22.4 | 109-RF 0 | 3.8 |
| 75o | 460 | 63 | 21 | 2 | 22 | 67 | 37 | 82 | 6 | 3 | 4.9 | .279 | .343 | .498 | .121 | .277 | .348 | .493 | .287 | 16.2 | 109-RF 0 | 3.4 |
| 60o | 460 | 60 | 21 | 2 | 21 | 66 | 36 | 84 | 6 | 3 | 4.8 | .271 | .335 | .482 | .081 | .269 | .339 | .477 | .280 | 11.8 | 109-RF 1 | 3.1 |
| 50o | 461 | 59 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 65 | 36 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 4.7 | .265 | .328 | .469 | .050 | .263 | .333 | .465 | .274 | 8.5 | 109-RF 1 | 2.8 |
| 40o | 461 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 63 | 35 | 88 | 5 | 2 | 4.5 | .257 | .319 | .451 | .005 | .255 | .324 | .447 | .266 | 3.6 | 109-RF 1 | 2.5 |
| 25o | 463 | 50 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 60 | 34 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 4.3 | .237 | .298 | .410 | -.096 | .235 | .303 | .406 | .247 | -7.6 | 110-RF 1 | 1.7 |
| 10o | 466 | 40 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 54 | 31 | 99 | 5 | 1 | 3.9 | .205 | .264 | .342 | -.260 | .204 | .268 | .339 | .211 | -25.9 | 110-RF 1 | 0.3 |
| Weighted Mean | 495 | 65 | 22 | 2 | 22 | 70 | 38 | 92 | 6 | 3 | 4.7 | .264 | .327 | .467 | .046 | .263 | .332 | .463 | .273 | 7.9 | 117-RF 0 | 2.7 |
| Breakout Rate | Improve Rate | Collapse Rate | Attrition Rate |
14% |
53% |
27% |
15% |
| Year | PA | R | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | SPD | AVG | OBP | SLG | MLVr | AVG | OBP | SLG | EqA | VORP | Defense | WARP |
| 2006 (age 32) | 495 | 65 | 22 | 2 | 22 | 70 | 38 | 92 | 6 | 3 | 4.7 | .264 | .327 | .467 | .046 | .263 | .332 | .463 | .273 | 7.9 | 117-RF 0 | 2.7 |
| 2007 (age 33) | 454 | 56 | 21 | 1 | 19 | 64 | 35 | 85 | 4 | 2 | 4.4 | .262 | .325 | .462 | .033 | .261 | .330 | .458 | .271 | 5.3 | 108-RF -1 | 2.0 |
| 2008 (age 34) | 333 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 48 | 27 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 4.2 | .260 | .326 | .456 | .026 | .258 | .331 | .452 | .270 | 3.4 | 81-RF -2 | 1.4 |
| 2009 (age 35) | 385 | 45 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 54 | 32 | 73 | 5 | 2 | 4.3 | .263 | .329 | .458 | .034 | .261 | .334 | .453 | .272 | 2.9 | 92-RF 0 | 1.2 |
| 2010 (age 36) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Year | OWARP | DWARP | Tot WARP | MORP | Mean VORP | Upside |
| 2006 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.7 | $3,250,000 | 7.9 | 11.5 |
| 2007 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | $2,300,000 | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| 2008 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.4 | $1,525,000 | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| 2009 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 | $1,350,000 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 2010 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | $850,000 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Peak | 7.8 | $7,050,000 | 21.2 | 26.7 | ||
![]() Stars & Scrubs Chart |
![]() Career Path Analysis |
![]() Five-Year Performance |
| |||
![]() Five-Year Attrition |
|
| Similarity Index | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)
|
You might wonder if Dye's injuries helped overwrite a frank evaluation of whether or not Beane pegged his value too high. His breakout season in 2000 came around the time a career year is supposed to happen in a player's career (27, although they generally wind up in a range between 25 and 29). Dye's really a poor man's Jesse Barfield, but less athletic and significantly more fragile. If he's healthy enough to play a full season, he'll enjoy hitting on Chicago's South side, just like every other right-handed pull hitter. Didn’t look good or fully healed during the first half of the season. Played much better down the stretch, with an .850 OPS in the second half, and should be healthy to begin the season next year. With the A’s new lineup, he’s going to be a big part of the right-handed balance, and remains the only Oakland outfielder who can actually show off his arm from time to time. Dye is an excellent, versatile ballplayer who can hit, field, run, and generally stay healthy. He suffered a very scary injury during Game 4 of the Division Series, fouling a ball off of his knee. The twisting nature of the fracture caused some initial concern, but Dye is expected to be ready for spring training and should be in right field from day one, giving the A's some much-needed power from the right side. By hitting just one home run after September 1, Jermaine Dye ensured that Steve Balboni’s team-record 36 homers would stand for another year as an embarrassment to the organization. That was about the only fault one can find with his season. The only person to make a more startling transformation from wild youth to distinguished veteran is George W. Bush. Six Royals qualified for the batting title; Dye was the only one who didn’t rank in the bottom quartile of the AL in pitches seen per plate appearance. Damon and Mike Sweeney get more press, but Dye is the best overall player on the team. Never underestimate the power of plate discipline, and never underestimate a player who is committed to improving himself. Dye was not prepared for the major leagues when he first had success with the Braves in 1996, but after spending time in Triple-A in 1997 and 1998, he learned to use the opposite field and lay off bad pitches. What little skills he brings to a team - the ability to hit left-handers and play an adequate right field - are being sabotaged by his inability to stay healthy. Muser was not impressed with him in Spring Training, and was frustrated with his fragility as the season wore on. He damaged knee ligaments in a freak injury in September, opening the door for Jeremy Giambi to get playing time. His window of opportunity is just about closed. The Perfect Royal: big, strong and a strike zone wider than the Mississippi. Muser must have said something to him about it, because he drew 13 walks in 146 at-bats after Muser was hired. If that improvement is for real he may yet have a career. Vlad sure is an optimist. He’s a fine rightfielder and has hit .305 with power against left-handers in his career, which would make him a fine spare part on a great team. The Royals are not a great team. Grade B prospect. Walks approximately never, so even if he fulfills his potential he’s not going really help a team. The most important thing a hitter can do is get on base, and Dye doesn’t do that. Probably no more than about the sixth-best outfielder in the organization, if that. He’s nothing more than a speed bump on the way to Andruw Jones. Will probably have a solid career as a marginal third outfielder, eventually serving time on someone’s bench as a fourth outfielder. Was ranked by Baseball America as the #3 prospect in the Braves system. The guys at Baseball America must think that plate discipline involves knowing the difference between the shrimp fork and the salad fork. Still, at 22 he's shown power and the ability to hit for average. Impressed onlookers in the Arizona Fall League.
|