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Ramon Castro
New York Mets [ Team Audit page ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 30
6' 3"
235 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2003 FLO MLB 57 6 2 0 5 8 4 11 0 0 3.9 .283 .333 .604 .291 .283 .333 .604 .301 5.8 0.5
2004 FLO MLB 108 9 3 0 3 8 11 30 0 0 3.4 .135 .231 .260 -.454 .144 .239 .268 .185 -8.4 27-C 1 0.3
2005 NYN MLB 237 26 16 0 8 41 25 58 1 0 3.5 .244 .321 .435 .006 .243 .321 .443 .264 8.8 65-C 2 2.6


EQA Distribution

Five-Year WARP

2006 Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 408 58 22 1 18 58 40 89 1 1 4.2 .260 .337 .480 .058 .264 .341 .508 .278 24.3 97-C 2 4.4
75o 373 47 19 1 15 49 35 84 1 1 3.9 .247 .323 .450 -.014 .251 .327 .476 .264 15.6 89-C 2 3.6
60o 352 41 18 1 14 44 33 80 1 1 3.7 .239 .314 .430 -.061 .242 .318 .455 .256 10.6 85-C 2 3.1
50o 333 36 17 0 12 40 30 77 1 1 3.6 .232 .306 .413 -.101 .235 .310 .438 .248 6.8 80-C 3 2.7
40o 311 30 15 0 10 35 28 74 1 0 3.4 .223 .296 .393 -.150 .226 .300 .416 .238 2.6 76-C 3 2.2
25o 286 25 13 0 9 30 25 69 1 0 3.1 .212 .284 .368 -.208 .215 .288 .390 .226 -1.7 70-C 3 1.8
10o 221 14 9 0 5 19 18 56 1 0 2.6 .184 .253 .303 -.364 .187 .256 .321 .190 -9.8 55-C 3 0.8
Weighted Mean 303 32 15 0 11 39 28 70 1 1 3.8 .236 .311 .423 -.077 .239 .315 .449 .253 8.5 74-C 2 2.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate

18%

46%

30%

28%

Five-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SPD AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 (age 30) 303 32 15 0 11 39 28 70 1 1 3.8 .236 .311 .423 -.077 .239 .315 .449 .253 8.5 74-C 2 2.8
2007 (age 31) 283 29 15 0 11 36 27 66 1 0 3.7 .234 .311 .423 -.078 .237 .315 .448 .253 6.5 69-C 0 2.0
2008 (age 32) 274 29 14 0 11 36 28 63 1 0 3.6 .236 .317 .429 -.059 .240 .321 .454 .257 6.0 67-C 1 1.7
2009 (age 33) 230 22 12 0 8 29 23 55 1 0 3.7 .238 .318 .423 -.062 .241 .322 .449 .256 4.5 57-C 1 1.3
2010 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2006 0.7 2.0 2.8 $3,325,000 8.5 7.0
2007 0.6 1.4 2.0 $2,200,000 6.5 5.7
2008 0.5 1.2 1.7 $1,925,000 6.0 6.2
2009 0.4 0.9 1.3 $1,500,000 4.5 5.9
2010 0.2 0.5 0.7 $900,000 1.9 2.3
Peak 8.3 $7,600,000 27.3 27.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Five-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2006 .264 .248 .226 .253
2007 .267 .250 .224 .253
2008 .273 .248 .233 .257
2009 .270 .239 .211 .256
2010
-- out of baseball --


Five-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2006 28% 0% 18%
2007 49% 16% 14%
2008 61% 30% 14%
2009 71% 40% 13%
2010 84% 50% 11%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

48

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Tim Laudner 1988 58 11 Doug Mirabelli 2001 38
2 Sal Fasano 2001 48 12 Gene Oliver 1965 38
3 Charles Johnson 2001 48 13 Phil Roof 1971 38
4 Barry Foote 1982 45 14 Hank Foiles 1959 37
5 Ron Karkovice 1993 43 15 George Mitterwald 1975 36
6 Ozzie Virgil 1987 42 16 Kelly Stinnett 2000 36
7 Jody Davis 1987 41 17 Dave Roberts 1981 35
8 Jim Pagliaroni 1968 40 18 Bill Plummer 1977 33
9 Nelson Santovenia 1991 40 19 Jason LaRue 2004 33
10 Dave Duncan 1976 39 20 Steve Yeager 1979 32

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2005

Sexual assault charges stemming from a 2003 incident followed Castro all year long until a plea agreement ended the issue in November. Whether it was the charges, an early-season slump or an injured toe that did it, 2004 was a lost year. The Mets have signed him to a minor league deal; he'd make a fine backup for Mike Piazza in New York, but he has to beat out Vance Wilson and Jason Phillips, or just one of them on a three-catcher roster.

2003

Castro sprained his elbow and hit the DL on May 19, and with Mike Redmond grabbing the top backup job in the meantime and Charles Johnson packing his bags, he may be several million dollars lighter for it. Left alone to start, Castro could easily hit 20 bombs in 2003, and with his relative youth that would net him a multiyear contract somewhere. For now, he’s behind Redmond on the depth chart.

2002

The Fish were able to sneak Castro through waivers in April, raising questions as to whether anybody in MLB actually watches the waiver wire. Whatever chance Castro had at a career with the Marlins died when Charles Johnson passed on exercising his out clause. Hopefully, Castro will be traded this spring and allowed to win the starting job for which he's been qualified for two years. He'd be worth two or three wins to a team like the Cardinals.

2001

Ramon Castro was handed a starting job in spring training but was overmatched offensively and sent to Calgary. There, Cannons’ hitting coach Sal Rende improved Castro's balance by opening up his stance. However, when he was recalled in late July, he reverted to lunging at pitches. Castro is a strong catch-and-throw receiver whose over-aggressiveness at bat won’t allow him to be as good as he could be. The Charles Johnson signing makes Castro trade bait.

2000

The nominal catcher of the future hasn’t shown as much offensive development as you’d like to see, but reached the majors last August anyway. Castro is a good defensive catcher who will hit enough to be a starter right now and is young enough to improve. He should be up to stay.

1999

The prize for trading Jay Powell to the Astros, Castro is a top-notch defensive catcher: he was gunning almost half of opposing thieves at Jackson, and his gamecalling has improved since he learned to “habla.” He’s got a Bo Diaz-sized case of the slows on the bases, which for a player this young is surprising. Only an elbow injury kept him from a September callup in ’98, but he’s expected to be 100% in camp. He should be the Marlins’ starting catcher by ’00.

1998

Since being the highest-selected Puerto Rican amateur, expectations have been high. They also aren’t unjustified, as 1997 was finally the kind of year the Astros were expecting. Castro is agile and has a cannon behind the plate. There’s talk that he could move up quickly if he hits at Double-A.

1997

Young catching prospect with a good mix of offensive skills. He’s still young enough that lots of bad things can happen to him, but there’s so much to like here it’s easy to envision him in the Dome, or Northern Virginia, in 1999.


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