Robinson Cancel

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2004	MNT	AA	178	15	10	1	4	24	15	27	0	2	3.4	.214	.287	.365	-.113	.170	.220	.268	.177	-18.7	30-C 2	0.0
2004	DUR	AAA	59	6	7	0	1	4	1	10	0	1	3.9	.263	.288	.439	-.090	.218	.245	.361	.203	-2.5	13-C 1	0.2
2005	SFD	AA	264	31	13	0	8	26	29	36	4	2	4.3	.287	.364	.448	.136	.214	.276	.309	.212	-12.1	61-C 4	1.3
2005	MEM	AAA	105	12	3	1	3	13	8	18	0	0	5.0	.253	.314	.400	-.078	.232	.282	.348	.222	-2.6	25-C 2	0.7

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	276	32	15	2	6	33	18	48	1	2	4.9	.267	.322	.416	-.045	.268	.323	.431	.250	7.5	68-C 2	2.3
75^o	251	23	12	1	5	25	16	48	1	2	4.1	.239	.292	.364	-.183	.240	.293	.378	.223	-1.5	62-C 2	1.4
60^o	240	20	11	1	4	22	14	47	1	1	3.8	.226	.278	.339	-.251	.227	.278	.351	.208	-5.2	60-C 1	1.0
50^o	235	18	10	1	4	21	14	47	1	1	3.6	.220	.271	.327	-.282	.221	.272	.339	.201	-6.9	58-C 1	0.8
40^o	229	17	9	1	3	19	13	46	1	1	3.4	.213	.263	.314	-.316	.214	.264	.326	.193	-8.5	57-C 1	0.6
25^o	211	12	7	1	2	15	11	45	1	1	2.8	.189	.238	.270	-.431	.190	.239	.280	.163	-13.7	53-C 1	0.1
10^o	184	7	5	0	1	9	9	42	1	0	2.0	.153	.197	.201	-.611	.153	.198	.209	.088	-19.8	47-C 0	-0.6
Weighted Mean	222	17	10	1	4	21	13	44	1	1	3.9	.224	.276	.336	-.258	.225	.277	.348	.206	-5.4	55-C 2	1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
48%	64%	29%	34%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 30)	222	17	10	1	4	21	13	44	1	1	3.9	.224	.276	.336	-.258	.225	.277	.348	.206	-5.4	55-C 2	1.0
2007 (age 31)	219	17	9	1	4	20	13	44	1	1	3.9	.220	.274	.331	-.272	.221	.274	.343	.205	-4.4	55-C 2	0.7
2008 (age 32)	193	14	9	1	3	19	12	40	1	1	4.0	.214	.269	.326	-.289	.215	.270	.338	.202	-3.7	49-C 2	0.5
2009 (age 33)	223	17	10	1	4	21	15	46	1	1	3.9	.218	.277	.334	-.263	.219	.278	.346	.207	-2.4	56-C 1	0.4
2010 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	-0.5	1.5	1.0	$1,075,000	-5.4	0.9
2007	-0.4	1.1	0.7	$825,000	-4.4	0.3
2008	-0.3	0.8	0.5	$675,000	-3.7	0.4
2009	-0.2	0.6	0.4	$650,000	-2.4	0.0
2010	0.0	0.5	0.3	$625,000	-1.1	0.1
Peak			3.0	$1,925,000	0.0	1.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.223	.201	.163	.206
2007	.227	.199	.171	.205
2008	.235	.209	.172	.202
2009	.235	.199	.144	.207
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	34%	0%	48%
2007	59%	26%	30%
2008	69%	39%	28%
2009	74%	49%	24%
2010	82%	65%	18%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

56

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Russ Gibson	1969	56		11	John Boccabella	1971	44
2	PEDRO LOPEZ	1999	50		12	DAX NORRIS	2003	42
3	Bob Barton	1971	50		13	Dann Bilardello	1989	42
4	Rick Cerone	1984	50		14	Doug Camilli	1966	42
5	Buck Martinez	1979	49		15	Mike Difelice	1999	41
6	Sammy White	1958	47		16	JULIO MOSQUERA	2002	41
7	MARK STRITTMATTER	1999	46		17	Paul Burris	1953	40
8	Mike Matheny	2000	45		18	Mike Ryan	1972	39
9	Ned Yost	1985	45		19	Ed Fitz Gerald	1954	39
10	Paul Casanova	1972	44		20	DANNY ARDOIN	2004	39

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