John Buck

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card
ESPN Player Card
tsn.ca Player Card

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	395	51	24	2	15	56	25	74	2	2	4.9	.295	.344	.500	.140	.297	.354	.526	.295	30.2	94-C 0	4.3
75^o	382	42	21	2	13	50	21	75	2	1	4.4	.271	.317	.448	.010	.273	.326	.472	.271	16.7	91-C -1	3.1
60^o	376	38	20	2	12	47	20	76	2	1	4.3	.261	.306	.427	-.044	.263	.315	.450	.261	11.5	90-C -1	2.7
50^o	371	35	19	2	11	45	19	76	1	1	4.1	.252	.295	.407	-.095	.253	.304	.428	.251	6.6	89-C -2	2.3
40^o	367	32	18	1	10	43	18	76	1	1	4.0	.243	.285	.388	-.142	.244	.293	.409	.241	2.2	88-C -2	1.9
25^o	362	30	17	1	9	41	17	77	1	1	3.8	.234	.275	.368	-.192	.235	.282	.388	.230	-2.4	87-C -2	1.5
10^o	346	21	13	1	6	34	13	78	1	1	3.3	.201	.236	.298	-.368	.202	.243	.313	.186	-17.6	83-C -3	0.1
Weighted Mean	398	41	21	2	12	50	21	81	2	1	4.3	.258	.303	.421	-.058	.260	.312	.444	.258	10.7	95-C -1	2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
32%	51%	19%	25%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 25)	398	41	21	2	12	50	21	81	2	1	4.3	.258	.303	.421	-.058	.260	.312	.444	.258	10.7	95-C -1	2.6
2007 (age 26)	403	43	21	1	13	51	23	80	2	1	4.1	.259	.309	.428	-.039	.261	.317	.451	.263	11.5	96-C -3	2.5
2008 (age 27)	425	46	21	2	14	53	26	84	2	2	4.1	.253	.305	.425	-.054	.255	.314	.447	.260	10.0	101-C -5	2.3
2009 (age 28)	328	32	16	1	11	43	20	65	1	1	4.1	.256	.306	.427	-.047	.258	.315	.450	.261	9.0	79-C -3	2.0
2010 (age 29)	331	31	17	1	9	40	19	66	2	1	4.2	.257	.306	.413	-.065	.258	.315	.435	.258	7.5	80-C -2	2.0

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.7	1.9	2.6	$3,075,000	10.7	10.5
2007	0.8	1.7	2.5	$2,975,000	11.5	12.9
2008	0.7	1.6	2.3	$2,800,000	10.0	11.3
2009	0.6	1.4	2.0	$2,550,000	9.0	9.4
2010	0.5	1.5	2.0	$2,550,000	7.5	7.0
Peak			11.3	$11,150,000	48.7	51.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.271	.251	.230	.258
2007	.282	.258	.226	.263
2008	.278	.258	.231	.260
2009	.272	.250	.233	.261
2010	.272	.252	.227	.258

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	25%	0%	32%
2007	31%	2%	36%
2008	27%	8%	34%
2009	37%	8%	27%
2010	40%	11%	26%

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Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Joe Oliver	1991	72		11	Steve Swisher	1977	48
2	George Mitterwald	1971	67		12	Eddie Taubensee	1994	48
3	Bill Nahorodny	1979	63		13	Tom Nieto	1986	48
4	Gus Triandos	1956	53		14	Jody Davis	1982	47
5	Bob Schmidt	1959	52		15	Andy Etchebarren	1969	47
6	Sandy Alomar	1992	51		16	Larry Haney	1968	46
7	Harry Chiti	1958	51		17	Bob Melvin	1987	46
8	Jerry Moses	1972	50		18	Charles Johnson	1997	44
9	Sammy White	1954	49		19	John Bateman	1966	44
10	Jerry May	1969	49		20	Paul Casanova	1967	44

Player Comments

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2005

Consider Buck a lesson in not getting too worked up over first impressions. In his first six weeks in the major leagues, Buck looked about as bad as any player has, ever, hitting .149/.222/.203 in his first 74 AB, and his bat speed showed all the blazing quickness of continental drift. It turns out hitting coach Jeff Pentland was tinkering with his swing; from July 31 on, Buck hit .274/.308/.524. His K/BB ratio was troubling, especially since that ratio did not improve in concert with his power numbers. But his power is legit, and it's nearly impossible for a catcher to hit 20 homers and not have value. He's a solid second player from the Beltran trade.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	NWO	AAA	292	32	18	2	2	39	14	53	1	0	4.5	.255	.301	.358	-.070	.261	.307	.367	.235	0.1	68-C -4	1.3
2004	NWO	AAA	253	31	11	0	12	35	21	39	0	1	2.9	.300	.368	.507	.231	.283	.345	.452	.272	14.4	55-C -4	2.0
2004	KCA	MLB	254	36	9	0	12	30	15	79	1	1	4.5	.235	.280	.424	-.100	.230	.278	.413	.235	3.4	66-C -5	0.9
2005	KCA	MLB	429	40	21	1	12	47	23	94	2	2	3.9	.242	.287	.389	-.139	.247	.302	.407	.243	2.4	112-C -3	2.2

Historical Stats

2006 Forecast

Diagnostics

32%

51%

19%

25%

Five-Year Forecast

Valuation

Most Comparable Players

61

Player Comments