Brad Ausmus

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	HOU	MLB	505	43	12	2	4	47	46	66	5	3	4.8	.229	.303	.291	-.247	.224	.298	.287	.215	-14.5	129-C 14	3.6
2004	HOU	MLB	441	38	14	1	5	31	33	56	2	2	4.0	.248	.306	.325	-.188	.244	.304	.319	.223	-6.9	114-C 0	2.5
2005	HOU	MLB	444	35	19	0	3	47	51	48	5	3	4.0	.258	.351	.331	-.075	.258	.352	.335	.248	7.1	120-C 8	4.3

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	307	36	15	1	3	33	33	33	3	2	5.3	.288	.370	.388	.015	.293	.375	.400	.266	13.7	75-C 0	2.7
75^o	297	30	13	1	3	27	29	33	3	2	4.4	.263	.342	.349	-.101	.267	.347	.359	.244	5.0	72-C 0	2.0
60^o	294	28	12	1	2	25	28	33	3	2	4.2	.256	.334	.338	-.134	.260	.339	.348	.238	2.6	72-C 0	1.8
50^o	289	26	12	1	2	23	27	34	3	2	3.8	.245	.322	.321	-.183	.249	.326	.331	.227	-0.9	71-C 0	1.5
40^o	286	24	11	0	2	21	26	34	3	1	3.5	.237	.312	.308	-.223	.240	.317	.317	.219	-3.6	70-C -1	1.3
25^o	282	21	10	0	2	18	25	34	3	1	3.1	.225	.299	.290	-.275	.229	.303	.299	.207	-7.1	69-C -1	1.0
10^o	273	17	8	0	1	14	22	34	3	1	2.4	.201	.272	.253	-.385	.205	.276	.260	.180	-14.0	67-C -1	0.4
Weighted Mean	292	27	12	1	2	24	28	33	3	2	4.0	.252	.330	.332	-.151	.256	.334	.342	.234	1.3	71-C 1	1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
24%	54%	23%	36%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 37)	292	27	12	1	2	24	28	33	3	2	4.0	.252	.330	.332	-.151	.256	.334	.342	.234	1.3	71-C 1	1.8
2007 (age 38)	240	19	10	0	2	20	23	28	2	1	3.8	.249	.327	.326	-.165	.253	.332	.336	.231	0.2	60-C 0	0.9
2008 (age 39)	-- out of baseball --
2009 (age 40)	-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 41)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.1	1.7	1.8	$1,925,000	1.3	1.8
2007	0.0	0.9	0.9	$1,000,000	0.2	0.2
2008	0.0	0.4	0.4	$600,000	-0.5	0.2
2009	0.1	0.2	0.2	$500,000	0.6	1.4
2010	0.1	0.2	0.2	$550,000	1.0	1.3
Peak			3.6	$2,700,000	2.6	5.0

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.244	.227	.207	.234
2007	.243	.231	.208	.231
2008	-- out of baseball --
2009	-- out of baseball --
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	36%	0%	24%
2007	69%	37%	10%
2008	89%	62%	4%
2009	97%	84%	3%
2010	97%	94%	3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

35

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Joe Girardi	2002	54		11	Sherm Lollar	1961	29
2	Birdie Tebbetts	1950	52		12	Jim Davenport	1970	28
3	Benito Santiago	2002	43		13	Terry Steinbach	1999	27
4	Rick Cerone	1991	39		14	Ron Hassey	1990	26
5	Don Slaught	1995	39		15	Billy Hitchcock	1953	24
6	Clyde McCullough	1954	38		16	Jim Hegan	1957	24
7	Johnny Roseboro	1970	38		17	Tom Prince	2001	24
8	Buddy Rosar	1951	35		18	Tony Pena	1994	24
9	Bob Boone	1985	34		19	Eddie Perez	2005	24
10	Jamie Quirk	1992	29		20	Jim Piersall	1967	21

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