Hector Gimenez

Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	SLM	A+	418	41	17	1	7	54	29	75	2	0	4.1	.247	.304	.352	-.045	.235	.283	.359	.225	-8.9	99-C 15	3.5
2004	ROU	AA	356	38	16	3	6	46	18	64	2	0	4.7	.245	.284	.366	-.142	.225	.260	.337	.211	-15.1	88-C 5	1.8
2005	CCH	AA	491	47	19	1	12	58	32	88	2	3	3.7	.273	.322	.399	-.013	.250	.298	.370	.233	-2.6	86-C 13	3.4

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	439	47	23	2	11	51	30	88	3	2	4.7	.257	.312	.405	-.084	.261	.316	.418	.245	8.3	104-C 6	3.4
75^o	404	36	19	2	8	42	25	83	2	1	4.2	.240	.291	.369	-.180	.244	.295	.380	.226	-1.9	96-C 5	2.4
60^o	391	32	18	2	8	39	24	81	2	1	4.0	.233	.283	.355	-.216	.237	.287	.366	.218	-5.3	93-C 4	2.0
50^o	377	29	16	1	7	36	22	78	2	1	3.8	.226	.274	.339	-.257	.229	.278	.350	.209	-8.8	90-C 4	1.6
40^o	365	26	15	1	6	33	20	76	2	1	3.7	.220	.267	.327	-.290	.223	.270	.337	.201	-11.5	88-C 4	1.3
25^o	339	20	13	1	5	28	17	72	1	1	3.3	.206	.250	.297	-.367	.209	.253	.306	.181	-17.1	82-C 3	0.6
10^o	311	15	10	1	3	23	14	67	1	0	2.9	.190	.230	.265	-.453	.193	.233	.273	.156	-22.2	76-C 2	0.0
Weighted Mean	394	32	18	1	7	39	23	81	2	1	3.9	.229	.278	.347	-.237	.233	.282	.357	.213	-7.0	94-C 5	1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
21%	44%	35%	11%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 23)	394	32	18	1	7	39	23	81	2	1	3.9	.229	.278	.347	-.237	.233	.282	.357	.213	-7.0	94-C 5	1.8
2007 (age 24)	402	35	17	1	9	41	24	84	1	1	3.9	.236	.285	.363	-.200	.239	.289	.374	.221	-2.8	96-C 5	1.6
2008 (age 25)	310	24	13	2	6	32	21	64	1	1	4.0	.233	.287	.362	-.200	.236	.291	.373	.223	-1.8	75-C 3	1.0
2009 (age 26)	346	30	17	2	9	40	23	74	1	1	4.0	.242	.296	.390	-.141	.246	.300	.402	.235	1.0	83-C 5	1.3
2010 (age 27)	375	36	17	2	10	40	29	73	2	1	3.8	.245	.307	.401	-.106	.249	.311	.413	.243	2.3	90-C 4	1.3

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	-0.6	2.4	1.8	$1,950,000	-7.0	1.2
2007	-0.2	1.8	1.6	$1,725,000	-2.8	1.3
2008	0.0	1.2	1.0	$1,175,000	-1.8	2.5
2009	0.1	1.2	1.3	$1,550,000	1.0	4.3
2010	0.2	1.1	1.3	$1,600,000	2.3	5.0
Peak			7.1	$5,700,000	5.1	17.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.226	.209	.181	.213
2007	.236	.221	.185	.221
2008	.258	.213	.190	.223
2009	.271	.225	.192	.235
2010	.271	.219	.192	.243

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	11%	0%	21%
2007	35%	23%	20%
2008	56%	40%	19%
2009	58%	45%	20%
2010	68%	49%	19%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

50

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Todd Hundley	1993	41		11	Alex Trevino	1981	31
2	KELLY RAMOS	2000	38		12	JAVIER CARDONA	1999	31
3	BRIAN LUDERER	2002	36		13	SAMMY SERRANO	2000	30
4	LEE EVANS	2001	36		14	KRIS WILKEN	2003	30
5	RAFAEL PUJOLS	2001	36		15	JOHN SUMMERS	2000	30
6	BRIAN SCHNEIDER	2000	35		16	ROBERT HAMMOCK	2001	30
7	Ben Davis	2000	34		17	WIL NIEVES	2001	29
8	ROBINSON CANCEL	2000	32		18	HUMBERTO COTA	2002	29
9	Donnie Scott	1985	32		19	BRANDON INGE	2001	29
10	MAXIM ST. PIERRE	2004	32		20	RYAN HUBELE	2004	28

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